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Méndez vs Ishii 02 Sep 2026 Model pick: Méndez Locked prediction 61.33% ROI: 225.07% Minimumweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Wilfredo Méndez 61.33%

Méndez odds 5.3000

Ishii odds 1.1333

Méndez implied 18.87%

Ishii implied 88.24%

Market odds 5.3

Implied probability 18.87%

Expected return 3.2507

ROI 225.07%

Edge 42.47%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-08-28 06:06:43 UTC

Fighter details
WM
Wilfredo Méndez

Score 58.26 · 20-3-1 (6 KO)

Full name Wilfredo Méndez Figueroa

Age 29 · Rank #488 · Confidence Medium 0.596

Stance Southpaw · H/R 164cm / 163cm · PR

TI
Takeshi Ishii

Score 64.97 · 11-1-0 (8 KO)

Full name Takeshi Ishii

Age 26 · Rank #238 · Confidence Medium 0.553

Stance Orthodox · H/R 156cm / 159cm · JP

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

58.0 Méndez Confidence High 0.750

82.0 Ishii Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

72.0 Méndez Confidence Medium 0.560

74.0 Ishii Confidence Medium 0.570

Hand Speed

70.0 Méndez Confidence Medium 0.520

72.0 Ishii Confidence Low 0.460

Pace Pressure

67.0 Méndez Confidence Medium 0.580

76.0 Ishii Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

64.0 Méndez Confidence Medium 0.580

68.0 Ishii Confidence Medium 0.520

Distance Footwork Control

71.0 Méndez Confidence Medium 0.570

73.0 Ishii Confidence Medium 0.580

Ring IQ Adaptability

74.0 Méndez Confidence Medium 0.630

75.0 Ishii Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Punching

69.0 Méndez Confidence Low 0.490

66.0 Ishii Confidence Low 0.410

Chin

55.0 Méndez Confidence Medium 0.680

71.0 Ishii Confidence Low 0.470

Cardio Engine

73.0 Méndez Confidence Medium 0.660

79.0 Ishii Confidence Medium 0.730

Style Profile Méndez: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Ishii: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Méndez Confidence Low 0.460

21.0 Ishii Confidence Low 0.450

Out-Boxer

34.0 Méndez Confidence Medium 0.660

18.0 Ishii Confidence Medium 0.540

Power Slugger

6.0 Méndez Confidence High 0.780

24.0 Ishii Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer-Puncher

28.0 Méndez Confidence Medium 0.610

30.0 Ishii Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter-Puncher

14.0 Méndez Confidence Low 0.340

7.0 Ishii Confidence Very Low 0.230

Stance Interaction Méndez vs orthodox  ·  Ishii vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

63.0 Méndez Confidence Medium 0.630

61.0 Ishii Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

37.0 Méndez Confidence Medium 0.630

39.0 Ishii Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Méndez

100 Ishii

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Méndez

33.33 Ishii

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Méndez

33.33 Ishii

Opponent Rating Last 3

52.33 Méndez

58.67 Ishii

Trend Score Last 5

77.5 Méndez

85 Ishii

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

76.19 Méndez

100 Ishii

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

14.29 Méndez

33.33 Ishii

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Méndez

33.33 Ishii

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

53.54 Méndez

58.67 Ishii

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

78.75 Méndez

92.5 Ishii

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Méndez stays in class.

Ishii stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Méndez height: 164.0cm reach: 163.0cm

Ishii height: 156.0cm reach: 159.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Méndez.

Advantage: Méndez +12.0cm

Stance Interaction

Méndez vs orthodox: 63.0

Ishii vs southpaw: 39.0

Interaction: medium advantage Méndez.

Advantage: Méndez

Style Interaction

Méndez style: Out Boxer

Ishii style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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