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Santos vs Valenzuela 29 Jun 2026 Result: Gastélum Time-safe result Pick 58.13% Prediction: Correct Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result José Gastélum (KO)

Pre-fight pick José Gastélum 58.13%

Prediction result Correct

Santos odds 1.9091

Valenzuela odds 1.9091

Santos implied 52.38%

Valenzuela implied 52.38%

Pre-fight odds 1.9091

Pre-fight implied 52.38%

Expected return 1.1098

ROI 10.98%

Edge 5.75%

Lean Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-06-23 01:22:22 UTC

Fighter details
ES
Edwin Santos

Score 58.67 · 17-3-0 (15 KO)

Full name Edwin De Los Santos

Age 26 · Rank #433 · Confidence Medium 0.554

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 178cm · DO

JV
José Valenzuela

Score 64.98 · 16-3-0 (10 KO)

Full name José Arturo Valenzuela Gastélum

Age 27 · Rank #170 · Confidence Medium 0.637

Stance Southpaw · H/R 178cm / 178cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

90.0 Santos Confidence High 0.870

82.0 Valenzuela Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

72.0 Santos Confidence Medium 0.530

69.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.610

Hand Speed

76.0 Santos Confidence Low 0.470

74.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.620

Pace Pressure

68.0 Santos Confidence Medium 0.500

71.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.670

Defensive Skill

56.0 Santos Confidence Medium 0.580

62.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.680

Distance Footwork Control

59.0 Santos Confidence Medium 0.500

70.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.640

Ring Iq Adaptability

61.0 Santos Confidence Medium 0.520

75.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Punching

66.0 Santos Confidence Low 0.460

73.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.600

Chin

52.0 Santos Confidence Medium 0.640

58.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.740

Cardio Engine

63.0 Santos Confidence Low 0.490

76.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.710

Style Profile Santos: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Valenzuela: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Santos Confidence Low 0.420

12.0 Valenzuela Confidence Low 0.430

Out Boxer

10.0 Santos Confidence Low 0.450

20.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.550

Power Slugger

46.0 Santos Confidence High 0.900

28.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.670

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Santos Confidence Medium 0.620

32.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Puncher

8.0 Santos Confidence Low 0.320

8.0 Valenzuela Confidence Low 0.310

Stance Interaction Santos vs southpaw  ·  Valenzuela vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Santos Confidence Medium 0.640

68.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.690

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Santos Confidence Medium 0.500

32.0 Valenzuela Confidence Medium 0.690

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Santos

100 Valenzuela

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Santos

66.67 Valenzuela

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Santos

100 Valenzuela

Opponent Rating Last 3

66.54 Santos

69.75 Valenzuela

Trend Score Last 5

40 Santos

85 Valenzuela

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

61.11 Santos

100 Valenzuela

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

55.56 Santos

66.67 Valenzuela

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Santos

100 Valenzuela

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

66.54 Santos

69.75 Valenzuela

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

60 Santos

85 Valenzuela

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Santos stays in class.

Valenzuela stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Santos height: 173.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Valenzuela height: 178.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Valenzuela.

Advantage: Valenzuela +5.0cm

Stance Interaction

Santos vs southpaw: 36.0

Valenzuela vs southpaw: 32.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Santos style: Power Slugger

Valenzuela style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Valenzuela.

Advantage: Valenzuela

Model: FiteQuant

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