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Picasso vs Martin 31 Oct 2026 Model pick: Picasso Locked prediction 65.81% ROI: -24.79% Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick David Picasso 65.81%

Picasso odds 1.1429

Martin odds 5.1000

Picasso implied 87.50%

Martin implied 19.61%

Market odds 1.1429

Implied probability 87.50%

Expected return 0.7521

ROI -24.79%

Edge -21.69%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-10-29 08:45:33 UTC

Fighter details
DP
David Picasso

Score 68.48 · 33-1-1 (18 KO)

Full name Alan David Picasso Romero

Age 26 · Rank #144 · Confidence Medium 0.558

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 178cm · MX

Carl Jammes Martin
Carl Jammes Martin

Score 66.58 · 28-0-0 (21 KO)

Full name Carl Jammes Calingayan Martin

Age 27 · Rank #177 · Confidence Medium 0.571

Stance Southpaw · H/R 168cm / 165cm · PH

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.700

84.0 Martin Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

77.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.560

76.0 Martin Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

79.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.500

77.0 Martin Confidence Medium 0.520

Pace Pressure

74.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.580

79.0 Martin Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

76.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.560

72.0 Martin Confidence Low 0.470

Distance Footwork Control

77.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.550

73.0 Martin Confidence Low 0.480

Ring IQ Adaptability

78.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.600

78.0 Martin Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter Punching

73.0 Picasso Confidence Low 0.450

71.0 Martin Confidence Low 0.430

Chin

80.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.620

74.0 Martin Confidence Low 0.410

Cardio Engine

81.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.680

80.0 Martin Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Picasso: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Martin: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Picasso Confidence Low 0.420

18.0 Martin Confidence Medium 0.550

Out-Boxer

24.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.560

16.0 Martin Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

12.0 Picasso Confidence Low 0.460

26.0 Martin Confidence Medium 0.710

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.680

32.0 Martin Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Picasso Confidence Low 0.300

8.0 Martin Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Interaction Picasso vs southpaw  ·  Martin vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.630

72.0 Martin Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Picasso Confidence Medium 0.630

28.0 Martin Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Picasso

100 Martin

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Picasso

33.33 Martin

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Picasso

66.67 Martin

Opponent Rating Last 3

69.12 Picasso

47.33 Martin

Trend Score Last 5

80 Picasso

100 Martin

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.77 Picasso

100 Martin

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

43.23 Picasso

56.67 Martin

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Picasso

66.67 Martin

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

69.12 Picasso

48.41 Martin

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Picasso

100 Martin

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Picasso stays in class.

Martin moves up 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Picasso.

Advantage: Picasso

Height Reach Delta

Picasso height: 173.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Martin height: 168.0cm reach: 165.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Picasso.

Advantage: Picasso +18.0cm

Stance Interaction

Picasso vs southpaw: 38.0

Martin vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: medium advantage Martin.

Advantage: Martin

Style Interaction

Picasso style: Boxer Puncher

Martin style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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