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Russell vs Santillan 23 Aug 2026 Result: Russell Time-safe result Pick 64.91% Prediction: Correct Super bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Gary Russell

Pre-fight pick Gary Russell 64.91%

Prediction result Correct

Russell odds 2.1600

Santillan odds 1.6494

Russell implied 46.30%

Santillan implied 60.63%

Pre-fight odds 2.16

Pre-fight implied 46.30%

Expected return 1.4020

ROI 40.20%

Edge 18.61%

Lean Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-07-31 11:57:47 UTC

Fighter details
GR
Gary Russell

Score 65.02 · 22-1-0 (13 KO)

Full name Gary Antonio Russell

Age 33 · Rank #191 · Confidence Medium 0.530

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 170cm · US

Victor Santillan
Victor Santillan

Score 61.40 · 16-3-0 (7 KO)

Full name Victor Daniel Santillán Pérez

Age 31 · Rank #397 · Confidence Medium 0.513

Stance Southpaw · H/R 166cm / 166cm · DO

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

72.0 Russell Confidence Medium 0.620

63.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.660

Punching Accuracy

76.0 Russell Confidence Medium 0.520

69.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.520

Hand Speed

80.0 Russell Confidence Medium 0.560

71.0 Santillan Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

69.0 Russell Confidence Medium 0.500

64.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.500

Defensive Skill

78.0 Russell Confidence Medium 0.580

67.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.550

Distance Footwork Control

79.0 Russell Confidence Medium 0.550

70.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring IQ Adaptability

77.0 Russell Confidence Medium 0.570

72.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Punching

74.0 Russell Confidence Low 0.460

68.0 Santillan Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

73.0 Russell Confidence Low 0.420

74.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.620

Cardio Engine

81.0 Russell Confidence Medium 0.630

73.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Russell: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Santillan: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Russell Confidence Low 0.340

14.0 Santillan Confidence Low 0.340

Out-Boxer

24.0 Russell Confidence Medium 0.560

33.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.570

Power Slugger

15.0 Russell Confidence Low 0.470

11.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.520

Boxer-Puncher

36.0 Russell Confidence Medium 0.690

30.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter-Puncher

13.0 Russell Confidence Low 0.280

12.0 Santillan Confidence Very Low 0.240

Stance Interaction Russell vs southpaw  ·  Santillan vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Russell Confidence Medium 0.630

42.0 Santillan Confidence Low 0.420

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Russell Confidence Medium 0.630

58.0 Santillan Confidence Low 0.420

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Russell

33.33 Santillan

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Russell

33.33 Santillan

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Russell

100 Santillan

Opponent Rating Last 3

64.07 Russell

69.43 Santillan

Trend Score Last 5

85 Russell

40 Santillan

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Russell

60.78 Santillan

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30.95 Russell

34.31 Santillan

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Russell

100 Santillan

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

64.07 Russell

69.43 Santillan

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

92.5 Russell

60 Santillan

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Russell stays in class.

Santillan stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Russell height: 168.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Santillan height: 166.0cm reach: 166.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Russell.

Advantage: Russell +6.0cm

Stance Interaction

Russell vs southpaw: 38.0

Santillan vs orthodox: 42.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Russell style: Boxer Puncher

Santillan style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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