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Baumgardner vs Shin 17 Apr 2026 Model lean: Baumgardner Custom 97.52% ROI: 5.61% Super featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Alycia Baumgardner 97.52%

Baumgardner odds 1.0830

Shin odds 11.5000

Baumgardner implied 92.34%

Shin implied 8.70%

Pick odds 1.083

Pick implied 92.34%

Expected return 1.0561

ROI 5.61%

Edge 5.18%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:31 UTC

Fighter details
AB
Alycia Baumgardner

Score 68.74 · 17-1-0 (7 KO)

Full name Alycia Baumgardner

Age 32 · Rank #122 · Confidence Medium 0.624

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 168cm · US

BS
Bo Shin

Score 7.56 · 19-3-3 (10 KO)

Full name Bo Mi Re Shin

Age 32 · Rank #618 · Confidence N/A

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / N/A · KR

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

76.0 Baumgardner Confidence High 0.770

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.640

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Hand Speed

80.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.680

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Pace Pressure

70.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.630

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Defensive Skill

72.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.620

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Distance Footwork Control

75.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.640

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Ring Iq Adaptability

78.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.720

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Counter Punching

79.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.670

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Chin

73.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.580

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Cardio Engine

81.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.740

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Style Profile Baumgardner: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Shin: Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Baumgardner Confidence Low 0.470

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Out Boxer

21.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.630

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Power Slugger

18.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.660

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Boxer Puncher

36.0 Baumgardner Confidence High 0.770

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Counter Puncher

13.0 Baumgardner Confidence Low 0.420

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Stance Advantage Baumgardner Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Shin Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.550

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Baumgardner Confidence Low 0.420

N/A Shin Confidence No Data

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Baumgardner

66.67 Shin

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Baumgardner

0 Shin

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Baumgardner

33.33 Shin

Opponent Rating Last 3

59.67 Baumgardner

56.24 Shin

Trend Score Last 5

100 Baumgardner

80 Shin

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Baumgardner

71.97 Shin

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

23.33 Baumgardner

20.45 Shin

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Baumgardner

33.33 Shin

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

59.67 Baumgardner

56.24 Shin

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Baumgardner

80 Shin

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Baumgardner stays in class.

Shin stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Baumgardner height: 168.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Shin height: 168.0cm reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Baumgardner vs orthodox: 62.0

Shin vs orthodox: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Baumgardner style: Boxer Puncher

Shin style:

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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