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Baumgardner vs Turhan 08 Nov 2026 Model pick: Turhan Locked prediction 61.90% ROI: 228.09% Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Elif Turhan 61.90%

Baumgardner odds 1.1429

Turhan odds 5.3000

Baumgardner implied 87.50%

Turhan implied 18.87%

Market odds 5.3

Implied probability 18.87%

Expected return 3.2809

ROI 228.09%

Edge 43.04%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-11-03 10:53:27 UTC

Fighter details
AB
Alycia Baumgardner

Score 68.59 · 17-1-0 (7 KO)

Full name Alycia Baumgardner

Age 32 · Rank #131 · Confidence Medium 0.624

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 168cm · US

ET
Elif Turhan

Score 68.87 · 14-0-0 (8 KO)

Full name Elif Nur Turhan

Age 31 · Rank #143 · Confidence Medium 0.539

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 175cm · TR

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

76.0 Baumgardner Confidence High 0.770

82.0 Turhan Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.640

73.0 Turhan Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

80.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.680

74.0 Turhan Confidence Medium 0.520

Pace Pressure

70.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.630

76.0 Turhan Confidence Medium 0.610

Defensive Skill

72.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.620

72.0 Turhan Confidence Medium 0.500

Distance Footwork Control

75.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.640

75.0 Turhan Confidence Medium 0.570

Ring IQ Adaptability

78.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.720

79.0 Turhan Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Punching

79.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.670

69.0 Turhan Confidence Low 0.430

Chin

73.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.580

71.0 Turhan Confidence Low 0.390

Cardio Engine

81.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.740

78.0 Turhan Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Baumgardner: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Turhan: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Baumgardner Confidence Low 0.470

14.0 Turhan Confidence Low 0.340

Out-Boxer

21.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.630

24.0 Turhan Confidence Medium 0.540

Power Slugger

18.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.660

22.0 Turhan Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer-Puncher

36.0 Baumgardner Confidence High 0.770

34.0 Turhan Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter-Puncher

13.0 Baumgardner Confidence Low 0.420

6.0 Turhan Confidence Very Low 0.220

Stance Interaction Baumgardner vs orthodox  ·  Turhan vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.550

58.0 Turhan Confidence Medium 0.570

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Baumgardner Confidence Low 0.420

42.0 Turhan Confidence Medium 0.570

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Baumgardner

100 Turhan

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Baumgardner

33.33 Turhan

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Baumgardner

100 Turhan

Opponent Rating Last 3

59.67 Baumgardner

72.87 Turhan

Trend Score Last 5

100 Baumgardner

100 Turhan

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Baumgardner

100 Turhan

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

23.33 Baumgardner

48.48 Turhan

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Baumgardner

100 Turhan

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

59.67 Baumgardner

72.87 Turhan

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Baumgardner

100 Turhan

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Baumgardner moves up 1 class.

Turhan stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Turhan.

Advantage: Turhan

Height Reach Delta

Baumgardner height: 168.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Turhan height: 170.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Turhan.

Advantage: Turhan +9.0cm

Stance Interaction

Baumgardner vs orthodox: 62.0

Turhan vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Baumgardner style: Boxer Puncher

Turhan style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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