MATCHUP ENGINE

Matchup weight class

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Inoue vs Donaire Winner: Inoue 88.52% ROI: N/A

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Matchup weight class

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Result details

Odds N/A

Implied N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Naoya Inoue

Score 82.72 · 32-0-0 (27 KO)

Age 32 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.744

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 171cm · JP

Nonito Donaire

Score 49.47 · 43-10-0 (28 KO)

Age 43 · Rank #5 · Confidence Medium 0.719

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 173cm · US

Naoya Inoue

Age: 32
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 82.72
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.744
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 171cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 32-0-0 (27 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Inoue

89% Inoue

11% Donaire

Win probability: 88.52%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Nonito Donaire

Age: 43
Fighter rank: #5
Current model score: 49.47
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.719
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 43-10-0 (28 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Inoue FiteQuant · Donaire FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

88.8 · Inoue · Conf High

58.3 · Donaire · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

88.8 · Inoue · Conf High

53.8 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

88.8 · Inoue · Conf High

52.0 · Donaire · Conf High

Pace Pressure

87.6 · Inoue · Conf High

40.7 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

87.1 · Inoue · Conf Medium

47.6 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

87.3 · Inoue · Conf High

45.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

88.6 · Inoue · Conf High

69.7 · Donaire · Conf High

Counter Punching

88.6 · Inoue · Conf High

80.3 · Donaire · Conf High

Chin

86.7 · Inoue · Conf Medium

44.8 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

87.1 · Inoue · Conf Medium

42.7 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Inoue: Boxer Puncher · Donaire: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 · Inoue · Conf Medium

8.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

8.0 · Inoue · Conf Medium

14.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

28.0 · Inoue · Conf High

27.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

42.0 · Inoue · Conf High

31.0 · Donaire · Conf High

Counter Puncher

10.0 · Inoue · Conf Low

20.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Stance Advantage

Inoue: Vs Southpaw · Donaire: Vs Southpaw

Vs Orthodox

42.0 · Inoue · Conf High

42.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

58.0 · Inoue · Conf High

58.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

100 · Inoue · Conf High

33.33 · Donaire · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Inoue · Conf High

0 · Donaire · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 · Inoue · Conf High

100 · Donaire · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

67.72 · Inoue · Conf High

68.85 · Donaire · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

100 · Inoue · Conf High

20 · Donaire · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 · Inoue · Conf High

58.67 · Donaire · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

61.49 · Inoue · Conf High

28 · Donaire · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 · Inoue · Conf High

100 · Donaire · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.72 · Inoue · Conf High

68.85 · Donaire · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 · Inoue · Conf High

50 · Donaire · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Inoue stays in class.

Donaire moves down 2 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Inoue reach: 171.0cm height: 165.0cm delta: 6.0cm

Donaire reach: 173.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Inoue.

Stance Interaction

Inoue advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Donaire advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Style Interaction

Inoue style: Boxer Puncher

Donaire style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.