MATCHUP ENGINE

Matchup weight class

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Inoue vs Cardenas Winner: Inoue 70.52% ROI: N/A

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Matchup weight class

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Result details

Odds N/A

Implied N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Naoya Inoue

Score 82.72 · 32-0-0 (27 KO)

Age 32 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.744

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 171cm · JP

Ramon Cardenas

Score 60.18 · 27-2-0 (15 KO)

Age 30 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.505

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 170cm · US

Naoya Inoue

Age: 32
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 82.72
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.744
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 171cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 32-0-0 (27 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Inoue

71% Inoue

29% Cardenas

Win probability: 70.52%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Ramon Cardenas

Age: 30
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 60.18
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.505
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 170cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 27-2-0 (15 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Inoue FiteQuant · Cardenas FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

88.8 · Inoue · Conf High

70.0 · Cardenas · Conf Medium

Punching Accuracy

88.8 · Inoue · Conf High

68.1 · Cardenas · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

88.8 · Inoue · Conf High

71.3 · Cardenas · Conf Low

Pace Pressure

87.6 · Inoue · Conf High

77.2 · Cardenas · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

87.1 · Inoue · Conf Medium

67.0 · Cardenas · Conf Low

Distance Footwork Control

87.3 · Inoue · Conf High

67.3 · Cardenas · Conf Low

Ring Iq Adaptability

88.6 · Inoue · Conf High

64.8 · Cardenas · Conf Low

Counter Punching

88.6 · Inoue · Conf High

70.1 · Cardenas · Conf Low

Chin

86.7 · Inoue · Conf Medium

64.4 · Cardenas · Conf Low

Cardio Engine

87.1 · Inoue · Conf Medium

66.1 · Cardenas · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Inoue: Boxer Puncher · Cardenas: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 · Inoue · Conf Medium

18.0 · Cardenas · Conf Low

Out Boxer

8.0 · Inoue · Conf Medium

12.0 · Cardenas · Conf Low

Power Slugger

28.0 · Inoue · Conf High

20.0 · Cardenas · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

42.0 · Inoue · Conf High

38.0 · Cardenas · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

10.0 · Inoue · Conf Low

12.0 · Cardenas · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Inoue: Vs Southpaw · Cardenas: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

42.0 · Inoue · Conf High

64.0 · Cardenas · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

58.0 · Inoue · Conf High

36.0 · Cardenas · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

100 · Inoue · Conf High

66.67 · Cardenas · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Inoue · Conf High

33.33 · Cardenas · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 · Inoue · Conf High

66.67 · Cardenas · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

67.72 · Inoue · Conf High

67.38 · Cardenas · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

100 · Inoue · Conf High

80 · Cardenas · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 · Inoue · Conf High

81.41 · Cardenas · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

61.49 · Inoue · Conf High

43.59 · Cardenas · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 · Inoue · Conf High

66.67 · Cardenas · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.72 · Inoue · Conf High

67.38 · Cardenas · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 · Inoue · Conf High

90 · Cardenas · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Inoue stays in class.

Cardenas moves down 3 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Inoue reach: 171.0cm height: 165.0cm delta: 6.0cm

Cardenas reach: 170.0cm height: 165.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Inoue.

Stance Interaction

Inoue advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Cardenas advantage against orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: medium advantage Cardenas.

Style Interaction

Inoue style: Boxer Puncher

Cardenas style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.