Benavidez
vs
Morrell
01 Feb 2025
Winner:
Benavidez
57.77%
ROI: -19.13%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details
Odds 1.4
Implied 71.43%
Edge -13.66%
Lean No Value
2026-03-23 16:20:30 UTC
Fighter details
David Benavidez
Score 84.71 · 31-0-0 (25 KO)
Age 29 · Rank #6 · Confidence Medium 0.714
Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 189cm · US
David Morrell
Score 70.69 · 12-1-0 (9 KO)
Age 28 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.629
Stance Southpaw · H/R 185cm / 196cm · CU
David Benavidez
- Age
- 29
- Fighter rank
- #6
- Current model score
- 84.71
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.714
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 188cm / 189cm
- Nationality
- US
- Career snapshot
- 31-0-0 (25 KO)
01 Feb 2025
Projected Win Split
58% Benavidez
42% Morrell
- Win probability
- 57.77%
- Market odds
- 1.4
- Implied probability
- 71.43%
- Expected ROI (1u)
- -19.13%
- Value edge
- -13.66%
- Lean assessment
- No Value
2026-03-23 16:20:30 UTC
DM
David Morrell
- Age
- 28
- Fighter rank
- #2
- Current model score
- 70.69
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.629
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Height/Reach
- 185cm / 196cm
- Nationality
- CU
- Career snapshot
- 12-1-0 (9 KO)
Profile source:
Benavidez FiteQuant
·
Morrell FiteQuant
Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.
Punching Power
95.6 · Benavidez · Conf High
75.2 · Morrell · Conf High
Punching Accuracy
95.0 · Benavidez · Conf High
84.6 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Hand Speed
95.6 · Benavidez · Conf Medium
86.3 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Pace Pressure
97.9 · Benavidez · Conf High
82.6 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Defensive Skill
90.2 · Benavidez · Conf Medium
83.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Distance Footwork Control
92.8 · Benavidez · Conf Medium
84.9 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Ring Iq Adaptability
93.8 · Benavidez · Conf High
78.7 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Counter Punching
91.0 · Benavidez · Conf Medium
88.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Chin
95.8 · Benavidez · Conf Medium
74.2 · Morrell · Conf Low
Cardio Engine
96.6 · Benavidez · Conf High
79.4 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Style Profile
Benavidez: Boxer Puncher
·
Morrell: Boxer Puncher
Pressure Swarmer
29.0 · Benavidez · Conf High
16.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Out Boxer
8.0 · Benavidez · Conf Medium
18.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Power Slugger
21.0 · Benavidez · Conf Medium
24.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Boxer Puncher
34.0 · Benavidez · Conf High
32.0 · Morrell · Conf High
Counter Puncher
8.0 · Benavidez · Conf Low
10.0 · Morrell · Conf Low
Stance Advantage
Benavidez: Vs Southpaw
·
Morrell: Vs Orthodox
Vs Orthodox
40.0 · Benavidez · Conf Medium
62.0 · Morrell · Conf Medium
Vs Southpaw
60.0 · Benavidez · Conf Medium
38.0 · Morrell · Conf Low
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3
100 · Benavidez · Conf High
66.67 · Morrell · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3
33.33 · Benavidez · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
33.33 · Benavidez · Conf High
33.33 · Morrell · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3
71.21 · Benavidez · Conf High
71.14 · Morrell · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5
100 · Benavidez · Conf High
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative
100 · Benavidez · Conf High
83.33 · Morrell · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
59.52 · Benavidez · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
33.33 · Benavidez · Conf High
33.33 · Morrell · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
71.21 · Benavidez · Conf High
71.14 · Morrell · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative
100 · Benavidez · Conf High
Matchup Factors
Weight Class Difference
Benavidez stays in class.
Morrell moves down 3 classes.
Interaction: No advantage.
Reach vs Height Delta
Benavidez reach: 189.0cm height: 188.0cm delta: 1.0cm
Morrell reach: 196.0cm height: 185.0cm delta: 11.0cm
Interaction: high advantage Morrell.
Stance Interaction
Benavidez advantage against southpaw: 60.0
Morrell advantage against orthodox: 62.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Style Interaction
Benavidez style: Boxer Puncher
Morrell style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: No advantage.