OWN YOUR EDGE
Álvarez vs Smith 19 Dec 2020 Winner: Barragán 60.58% ROI: -29.32%
Change fighters and profiles

Choose a division to activate the weight-class matchup factor.

Result details

Odds 1.1667

Implied 85.71%

Edge -25.13%

Lean No Value

2026-03-23 16:24:08 UTC

Fighter details
Canelo Álvarez

Score 77.15 · 63-3-2 (39 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #5 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Orthodox · H/R 171cm / 179cm · MX

Callum Smith

Score 67.59 · 31-2-0 (22 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.639

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 198cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Álvarez FiteQuant · Smith FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

83.7 · Álvarez · Conf High
88.9 · Smith · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
72.6 · Smith · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

84.8 · Álvarez · Conf High
70.6 · Smith · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

76.2 · Álvarez · Conf High
62.4 · Smith · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High
81.1 · Smith · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

85.2 · Álvarez · Conf High
83.1 · Smith · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
80.2 · Smith · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

88.6 · Álvarez · Conf High
76.4 · Smith · Conf Medium

Chin

88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High
79.9 · Smith · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

76.9 · Álvarez · Conf High
72.8 · Smith · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Álvarez: Boxer Puncher · Smith: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
10.0 · Smith · Conf Low

Out Boxer

11.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
26.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

20.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
24.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

37.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
34.0 · Smith · Conf High

Counter Puncher

18.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
6.0 · Smith · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Álvarez: Vs Orthodox · Smith: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

58.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
66.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

42.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
34.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High
66.67 · Smith · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

0 · Álvarez · Conf High
33.33 · Smith · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High
0 · Smith · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High
68.12 · Smith · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

80 · Álvarez · Conf High
80 · Smith · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.26 · Álvarez · Conf High
81.67 · Smith · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30 · Álvarez · Conf High
51.67 · Smith · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High
0 · Smith · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High
68.12 · Smith · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 · Álvarez · Conf High
80 · Smith · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Álvarez stays in class.

Smith moves down 5 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Álvarez reach: 179.0cm height: 171.0cm delta: 8.0cm

Smith reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Álvarez.

Stance Interaction

Álvarez advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Smith advantage against orthodox: 66.0

Interaction: low advantage Smith.

Style Interaction

Álvarez style: Boxer Puncher

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Model: FiteQuant

Explore models · Login