OWN YOUR EDGE
Álvarez vs Crawford 13 Sep 2025 Winner: Crawford 65.59% ROI: 73.81%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details

Odds 2.65

Implied 37.74%

Edge 27.85%

Lean Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:19:49 UTC

Fighter details
Canelo Álvarez

Score 77.15 · 63-3-2 (39 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #5 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Orthodox · H/R 171cm / 179cm · MX

Terence Crawford

Score 81.50 · 42-0-0 (31 KO)

Age 38 · Rank #1 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 188cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Álvarez FiteQuant · Crawford FiteQuant

Punching Power

83.7 · Álvarez · Conf High
86.5 · Crawford · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
88.8 · Crawford · Conf High

Hand Speed

84.8 · Álvarez · Conf High
88.4 · Crawford · Conf High

Pace Pressure

76.2 · Álvarez · Conf High
84.8 · Crawford · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High
88.8 · Crawford · Conf High

Distance Footwork Control

85.2 · Álvarez · Conf High
88.2 · Crawford · Conf High

Ring Iq Adaptability

88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
89.1 · Crawford · Conf High

Counter Punching

88.6 · Álvarez · Conf High
89.0 · Crawford · Conf High

Chin

88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High
87.6 · Crawford · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

76.9 · Álvarez · Conf High
87.6 · Crawford · Conf High

Style Profile

Álvarez: Boxer Puncher · Crawford: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
8.0 · Crawford · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

11.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
18.0 · Crawford · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

20.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
12.0 · Crawford · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

37.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
37.0 · Crawford · Conf High

Counter Puncher

18.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
25.0 · Crawford · Conf High

Stance Advantage

Álvarez: Vs Orthodox · Crawford: Vs Southpaw

Vs Orthodox

58.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
44.0 · Crawford · Conf High

Vs Southpaw

42.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
56.0 · Crawford · Conf High

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High
100 · Crawford · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

0 · Álvarez · Conf High
33.33 · Crawford · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High
33.33 · Crawford · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High
73.81 · Crawford · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

80 · Álvarez · Conf High
100 · Crawford · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.26 · Álvarez · Conf High
100 · Crawford · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30 · Álvarez · Conf High
55.13 · Crawford · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High
33.33 · Crawford · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High
73.81 · Crawford · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 · Álvarez · Conf High
100 · Crawford · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Álvarez stays in class.

Crawford stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Álvarez reach: 179.0cm height: 171.0cm delta: 8.0cm

Crawford reach: 188.0cm height: 173.0cm delta: 15.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Crawford.

Stance Interaction

Álvarez advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Crawford advantage against southpaw: 56.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Style Interaction

Álvarez style: Boxer Puncher

Crawford style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Model: FiteQuant

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