Álvarez
vs
Crawford
13 Sep 2025
Winner:
Crawford
65.59%
ROI: 73.81%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details
Odds 2.65
Implied 37.74%
Edge 27.85%
Lean Value Bet
2026-03-23 16:19:49 UTC
Fighter details
Canelo Álvarez
Score 77.15 · 63-3-2 (39 KO)
Age 35 · Rank #5 · Confidence High 0.774
Stance Orthodox · H/R 171cm / 179cm · MX
Terence Crawford
Score 81.50 · 42-0-0 (31 KO)
Age 38 · Rank #1 · Confidence High 0.774
Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 188cm · US
Canelo Álvarez
- Age
- 35
- Fighter rank
- #5
- Current model score
- 77.15
- Fighter confidence
- High 0.774
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 171cm / 179cm
- Nationality
- MX
- Career snapshot
- 63-3-2 (39 KO)
13 Sep 2025
Projected Win Split
- Win probability
- 65.59%
- Market odds
- 2.65
- Implied probability
- 37.74%
- Expected ROI (1u)
- 73.81%
- Value edge
- 27.85%
- Lean assessment
- Value Bet
2026-03-23 16:19:49 UTC
Terence Crawford
- Age
- 38
- Fighter rank
- #1
- Current model score
- 81.50
- Fighter confidence
- High 0.774
- Stance
- Southpaw
- Height/Reach
- 173cm / 188cm
- Nationality
- US
- Career snapshot
- 42-0-0 (31 KO)
Profile source:
Álvarez FiteQuant
·
Crawford FiteQuant
Punching Power
83.7 · Álvarez · Conf High
86.5 · Crawford · Conf High
Punching Accuracy
88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
88.8 · Crawford · Conf High
Hand Speed
84.8 · Álvarez · Conf High
88.4 · Crawford · Conf High
Pace Pressure
76.2 · Álvarez · Conf High
84.8 · Crawford · Conf Medium
Defensive Skill
88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High
88.8 · Crawford · Conf High
Distance Footwork Control
85.2 · Álvarez · Conf High
88.2 · Crawford · Conf High
Ring Iq Adaptability
88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
89.1 · Crawford · Conf High
Counter Punching
88.6 · Álvarez · Conf High
89.0 · Crawford · Conf High
Chin
88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High
87.6 · Crawford · Conf Medium
Cardio Engine
76.9 · Álvarez · Conf High
87.6 · Crawford · Conf High
Style Profile
Álvarez: Boxer Puncher
·
Crawford: Boxer Puncher
Pressure Swarmer
14.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
8.0 · Crawford · Conf Medium
Out Boxer
11.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
18.0 · Crawford · Conf Medium
Power Slugger
20.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
12.0 · Crawford · Conf Medium
Boxer Puncher
37.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
37.0 · Crawford · Conf High
Counter Puncher
18.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
25.0 · Crawford · Conf High
Stance Advantage
Álvarez: Vs Orthodox
·
Crawford: Vs Southpaw
Vs Orthodox
58.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
44.0 · Crawford · Conf High
Vs Southpaw
42.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
56.0 · Crawford · Conf High
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3
66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High
100 · Crawford · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3
33.33 · Crawford · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High
33.33 · Crawford · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3
71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High
73.81 · Crawford · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5
100 · Crawford · Conf High
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative
80.26 · Álvarez · Conf High
100 · Crawford · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
55.13 · Crawford · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High
33.33 · Crawford · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High
73.81 · Crawford · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative
100 · Crawford · Conf High
Matchup Factors
Weight Class Difference
Álvarez stays in class.
Crawford stays in class.
Interaction: No advantage.
Reach vs Height Delta
Álvarez reach: 179.0cm height: 171.0cm delta: 8.0cm
Crawford reach: 188.0cm height: 173.0cm delta: 15.0cm
Interaction: medium advantage Crawford.
Stance Interaction
Álvarez advantage against orthodox: 58.0
Crawford advantage against southpaw: 56.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Style Interaction
Álvarez style: Boxer Puncher
Crawford style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: No advantage.