Álvarez
vs
Munguía
04 May 2024
Winner:
Barragán
73.58%
ROI: -5.40%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details
Odds 1.2857
Implied 77.78%
Edge -4.20%
Lean No Value
2026-03-23 16:21:10 UTC
Fighter details
Canelo Álvarez
Score 77.15 · 63-3-2 (39 KO)
Age 35 · Rank #5 · Confidence High 0.774
Stance Orthodox · H/R 171cm / 179cm · MX
Jaime Munguía
Score 66.48 · 45-2-0 (35 KO)
Age 29 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.654
Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 183cm · MX
Canelo Álvarez
- Age
- 35
- Fighter rank
- #5
- Current model score
- 77.15
- Fighter confidence
- High 0.774
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 171cm / 179cm
- Nationality
- MX
- Career snapshot
- 63-3-2 (39 KO)
04 May 2024
Projected Win Split
- Win probability
- 73.58%
- Market odds
- 1.2857
- Implied probability
- 77.78%
- Expected ROI (1u)
- -5.40%
- Value edge
- -4.20%
- Lean assessment
- No Value
2026-03-23 16:21:10 UTC
Jaime Munguía
- Age
- 29
- Fighter rank
- #1
- Current model score
- 66.48
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.654
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 183cm / 183cm
- Nationality
- MX
- Career snapshot
- 45-2-0 (35 KO)
Profile source:
Álvarez FiteQuant
·
Munguía FiteQuant
Punching Power
83.7 · Álvarez · Conf High
91.7 · Munguía · Conf High
Punching Accuracy
88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
77.5 · Munguía · Conf Medium
Hand Speed
84.8 · Álvarez · Conf High
75.5 · Munguía · Conf Medium
Pace Pressure
76.2 · Álvarez · Conf High
93.6 · Munguía · Conf High
Defensive Skill
88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High
64.2 · Munguía · Conf Medium
Distance Footwork Control
85.2 · Álvarez · Conf High
68.5 · Munguía · Conf Medium
Ring Iq Adaptability
88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
65.9 · Munguía · Conf Medium
Counter Punching
88.6 · Álvarez · Conf High
67.8 · Munguía · Conf Medium
Chin
88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High
70.6 · Munguía · Conf Medium
Cardio Engine
76.9 · Álvarez · Conf High
81.6 · Munguía · Conf Medium
Style Profile
Álvarez: Boxer Puncher
·
Munguía: Pressure Swarmer
Pressure Swarmer
14.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
34.0 · Munguía · Conf Medium
Out Boxer
11.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
8.0 · Munguía · Conf Medium
Power Slugger
20.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
24.0 · Munguía · Conf High
Boxer Puncher
37.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
28.0 · Munguía · Conf Medium
Counter Puncher
18.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium
Stance Advantage
Álvarez: Vs Orthodox
·
Munguía: Vs Orthodox
Vs Orthodox
58.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
58.0 · Munguía · Conf Medium
Vs Southpaw
42.0 · Álvarez · Conf High
42.0 · Munguía · Conf Medium
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3
66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High
66.67 · Munguía · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3
33.33 · Munguía · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High
33.33 · Munguía · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3
71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High
70.96 · Munguía · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative
80.26 · Álvarez · Conf High
82.2 · Munguía · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
55.3 · Munguía · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High
33.33 · Munguía · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High
70.96 · Munguía · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Matchup Factors
Weight Class Difference
Álvarez stays in class.
Munguía stays in class.
Interaction: No advantage.
Reach vs Height Delta
Álvarez reach: 179.0cm height: 171.0cm delta: 8.0cm
Munguía reach: 183.0cm height: 183.0cm delta: 0.0cm
Interaction: medium advantage Álvarez.
Stance Interaction
Álvarez advantage against orthodox: 58.0
Munguía advantage against orthodox: 58.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Style Interaction
Álvarez style: Boxer Puncher
Munguía style: Pressure Swarmer
Interaction: No advantage.