Parker
vs
Wardley
25 Oct 2025
Winner:
Parker
64.84%
ROI: -16.09%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details
Odds 1.2941
Implied 77.27%
Edge -12.43%
Lean No Value
2026-03-23 16:19:43 UTC
Fighter details
Joseph Parker
Score 76.70 · 36-4-0 (24 KO)
Age 34 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.703
Stance Orthodox · H/R 193cm / 193cm · NZ
Fabio Wardley
Score 71.30 · 20-0-1 (19 KO)
Age 31 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.620
Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 198cm · GB
Joseph Parker
- Age
- 34
- Fighter rank
- #3
- Current model score
- 76.70
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.703
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 193cm / 193cm
- Nationality
- NZ
- Career snapshot
- 36-4-0 (24 KO)
25 Oct 2025
Projected Win Split
- Win probability
- 64.84%
- Market odds
- 1.2941
- Implied probability
- 77.27%
- Expected ROI (1u)
- -16.09%
- Value edge
- -12.43%
- Lean assessment
- No Value
2026-03-23 16:19:43 UTC
FW
Fabio Wardley
- Age
- 31
- Fighter rank
- #1
- Current model score
- 71.30
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.620
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 196cm / 198cm
- Nationality
- GB
- Career snapshot
- 20-0-1 (19 KO)
Profile source:
Parker FiteQuant
·
Wardley FiteQuant
Punching Power
80.0 · Parker · Conf High
74.9 · Wardley · Conf High
Punching Accuracy
86.2 · Parker · Conf Medium
77.5 · Wardley · Conf Medium
Hand Speed
93.8 · Parker · Conf High
72.7 · Wardley · Conf Medium
Pace Pressure
73.3 · Parker · Conf Medium
79.9 · Wardley · Conf Medium
Defensive Skill
88.3 · Parker · Conf High
67.8 · Wardley · Conf Medium
Distance Footwork Control
87.8 · Parker · Conf High
67.5 · Wardley · Conf Medium
Ring Iq Adaptability
90.5 · Parker · Conf High
76.0 · Wardley · Conf Medium
Counter Punching
89.9 · Parker · Conf Medium
72.2 · Wardley · Conf Medium
Chin
82.9 · Parker · Conf Medium
79.0 · Wardley · Conf Medium
Cardio Engine
86.1 · Parker · Conf High
78.4 · Wardley · Conf Medium
Style Profile
Parker: Boxer Puncher
·
Wardley: Power Slugger
Pressure Swarmer
12.0 · Parker · Conf Medium
18.0 · Wardley · Conf Medium
Out Boxer
24.0 · Parker · Conf Medium
Power Slugger
16.0 · Parker · Conf Medium
42.0 · Wardley · Conf High
Boxer Puncher
34.0 · Parker · Conf High
24.0 · Wardley · Conf Medium
Counter Puncher
14.0 · Parker · Conf Medium
Stance Advantage
Parker: Vs Orthodox
·
Wardley: Vs Orthodox
Vs Orthodox
58.0 · Parker · Conf Medium
62.0 · Wardley · Conf Medium
Vs Southpaw
42.0 · Parker · Conf Medium
38.0 · Wardley · Conf Low
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3
66.67 · Parker · Conf High
100 · Wardley · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3
33.33 · Parker · Conf High
100 · Wardley · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
33.33 · Parker · Conf High
66.67 · Wardley · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3
75.48 · Parker · Conf High
70.32 · Wardley · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5
91.25 · Wardley · Conf High
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative
79.28 · Parker · Conf High
100 · Wardley · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
47.75 · Parker · Conf High
100 · Wardley · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
33.33 · Parker · Conf High
66.67 · Wardley · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
75.48 · Parker · Conf High
70.32 · Wardley · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative
95.63 · Wardley · Conf High
Matchup Factors
Weight Class Difference
Parker stays in class.
Wardley stays in class.
Interaction: No advantage.
Reach vs Height Delta
Parker reach: 193.0cm height: 193.0cm delta: 0.0cm
Wardley reach: 198.0cm height: 196.0cm delta: 2.0cm
Interaction: low advantage Wardley.
Stance Interaction
Parker advantage against orthodox: 58.0
Wardley advantage against orthodox: 62.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Style Interaction
Parker style: Boxer Puncher
Wardley style: Power Slugger
Interaction: medium advantage Parker.