MATCHUP ENGINE

Briedis vs Dorticos 26 Sep 2020 Winner: Pao 55.97% ROI: 45.53%

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Result details

Odds 2.6

Implied 38.46%

Edge 17.51%

Lean Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:24:21 UTC

Fighter details

Mairis Briedis

Score 65.70 · 28-3-0 (20 KO)

Age 41 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.666

Stance Orthodox · H/R 186cm / 190cm · N/A

Yuniel Dorticos

Score 59.30 · 27-3-0 (25 KO)

Age 40 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.658

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 203cm · CU

Mairis Briedis

Age: 41
Fighter rank: #2
Current model score: 65.70
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.666
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 186cm / 190cm
Nationality: N/A
Career snapshot: 28-3-0 (20 KO)

26 Sep 2020

Projected Win Split

Winner

Pao

44% Briedis

56% Dorticos

Win probability: 55.97%
Market odds: 2.6
Implied probability: 38.46%
Expected ROI (1u): 45.53%
Value edge: 17.51%
Lean assessment: Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:24:21 UTC

Yuniel Dorticos

Age: 40
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 59.30
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.658
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 191cm / 203cm
Nationality: CU
Career snapshot: 27-3-0 (25 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Briedis FiteQuant · Dorticos FiteQuant

Punching Power

78.5 · Briedis · Conf High

91.9 · Dorticos · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

68.5 · Briedis · Conf Medium

66.1 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

66.5 · Briedis · Conf Medium

68.1 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

54.0 · Briedis · Conf Medium

56.9 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

86.8 · Briedis · Conf High

56.3 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

78.5 · Briedis · Conf Medium

58.3 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

84.9 · Briedis · Conf High

58.0 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

85.8 · Briedis · Conf Medium

69.8 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Chin

91.2 · Briedis · Conf High

67.6 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

74.6 · Briedis · Conf High

57.7 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Briedis: Boxer Puncher · Dorticos: Power Slugger

Pressure Swarmer

15.0 · Briedis · Conf Low

14.0 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

18.0 · Briedis · Conf Medium

8.0 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

24.0 · Briedis · Conf Medium

45.0 · Dorticos · Conf High

Boxer Puncher

31.0 · Briedis · Conf Medium

25.0 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

12.0 · Briedis · Conf Low

8.0 · Dorticos · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Briedis: Vs Southpaw · Dorticos: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

42.0 · Briedis · Conf Medium

72.0 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

58.0 · Briedis · Conf Medium

28.0 · Dorticos · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

33.33 · Briedis · Conf High

66.67 · Dorticos · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

0 · Briedis · Conf High

66.67 · Dorticos · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 · Briedis · Conf High

33.33 · Dorticos · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

73.02 · Briedis · Conf High

54.63 · Dorticos · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

60 · Briedis · Conf High

60 · Dorticos · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

64.88 · Briedis · Conf High

79.63 · Dorticos · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 · Briedis · Conf High

75.93 · Dorticos · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 · Briedis · Conf High

33.33 · Dorticos · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.02 · Briedis · Conf High

54.63 · Dorticos · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 · Briedis · Conf High

70 · Dorticos · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Briedis stays in class.

Dorticos stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Briedis reach: 190.0cm height: 186.0cm delta: 4.0cm

Dorticos reach: 203.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 12.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Dorticos.

Stance Interaction

Briedis advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Dorticos advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: medium advantage Dorticos.

Style Interaction

Briedis style: Boxer Puncher

Dorticos style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Briedis.