OWN YOUR EDGE
Makabu vs Cieślak 31 Jan 2020 Winner: Cieślak 65.29% ROI: 121.98%
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Result details

Odds 3.4

Implied 29.41%

Edge 35.88%

Lean Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:24:34 UTC

Fighter details
Ilunga Makabu

Score 46.65 · 30-4-0 (26 KO)

Age 38 · Rank #5 · Confidence Medium 0.591

Stance Southpaw · H/R 183cm / 188cm · ZA

Michał Cieślak

Score 65.98 · 28-2-0 (22 KO)

Age 36 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.566

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 201cm · PL

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Makabu FiteQuant · Cieślak FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

87.4 · Makabu · Conf High
90.8 · Cieślak · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

49.4 · Makabu · Conf Medium
74.7 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

44.2 · Makabu · Conf Low
68.7 · Cieślak · Conf Low

Pace Pressure

54.3 · Makabu · Conf Medium
81.1 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

43.9 · Makabu · Conf Medium
64.4 · Cieślak · Conf Low

Distance Footwork Control

44.2 · Makabu · Conf Medium
67.8 · Cieślak · Conf Low

Ring Iq Adaptability

51.4 · Makabu · Conf Medium
63.6 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

46.8 · Makabu · Conf Low
67.6 · Cieślak · Conf Low

Chin

45.9 · Makabu · Conf Medium
75.4 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

45.0 · Makabu · Conf Medium
64.7 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Makabu: Power Slugger · Cieślak: Power Slugger

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 · Makabu · Conf Medium
18.0 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

8.0 · Makabu · Conf Low
12.0 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

42.0 · Makabu · Conf High
34.0 · Cieślak · Conf High

Boxer Puncher

24.0 · Makabu · Conf Medium
28.0 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

8.0 · Makabu · Conf Low
8.0 · Cieślak · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Makabu: Vs Orthodox · Cieślak: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

68.0 · Makabu · Conf Medium
64.0 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

32.0 · Makabu · Conf Medium
36.0 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

33.33 · Makabu · Conf High
100 · Cieślak · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Makabu · Conf High
100 · Cieślak · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 · Makabu · Conf High
33.33 · Cieślak · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

64.45 · Makabu · Conf High
44.67 · Cieślak · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

60 · Makabu · Conf High
100 · Cieślak · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

63.44 · Makabu · Conf High
100 · Cieślak · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

56.99 · Makabu · Conf High
100 · Cieślak · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 · Makabu · Conf High
33.33 · Cieślak · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

64.45 · Makabu · Conf High
46.27 · Cieślak · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 · Makabu · Conf High
100 · Cieślak · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Makabu stays in class.

Cieślak moves up 2 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Makabu reach: 188.0cm height: 183.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Cieślak reach: 201.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 10.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Cieślak.

Stance Interaction

Makabu advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Cieślak advantage against orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: medium advantage Makabu.

Style Interaction

Makabu style: Power Slugger

Cieślak style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Model: FiteQuant

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