Billam-Smith
vs
Okolie
27 May 2023
Winner:
Billam-Smith
58.92%
ROI: 147.46%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details
Odds 4.2
Implied 23.81%
Edge 35.11%
Lean Value Bet
2026-03-23 16:22:06 UTC
Fighter details
Chris Billam-Smith
Score 68.52 · 21-2-0 (13 KO)
Age 35 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.628
Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 193cm · GB
Lawrence Okolie
Score 62.51 · 23-1-0 (17 KO)
Age 33 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.592
Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 210cm · GB
Chris Billam-Smith
- Age
- 35
- Fighter rank
- #1
- Current model score
- 68.52
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.628
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 191cm / 193cm
- Nationality
- GB
- Career snapshot
- 21-2-0 (13 KO)
27 May 2023
Projected Win Split
59% Billam-Smith
41% Okolie
- Win probability
- 58.92%
- Market odds
- 4.2
- Implied probability
- 23.81%
- Expected ROI (1u)
- 147.46%
- Value edge
- 35.11%
- Lean assessment
- Value Bet
2026-03-23 16:22:06 UTC
LO
Lawrence Okolie
- Age
- 33
- Fighter rank
- #1
- Current model score
- 62.51
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.592
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 196cm / 210cm
- Nationality
- GB
- Career snapshot
- 23-1-0 (17 KO)
Profile source:
Billam-Smith FiteQuant
·
Okolie FiteQuant
Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.
Punching Power
77.6 · Billam-Smith · Conf High
84.5 · Okolie · Conf High
Punching Accuracy
73.4 · Billam-Smith · Conf Medium
65.6 · Okolie · Conf Medium
Hand Speed
65.3 · Billam-Smith · Conf Medium
58.9 · Okolie · Conf Medium
Pace Pressure
86.8 · Billam-Smith · Conf High
46.8 · Okolie · Conf Medium
Defensive Skill
76.0 · Billam-Smith · Conf Medium
56.6 · Okolie · Conf Medium
Distance Footwork Control
74.9 · Billam-Smith · Conf Medium
80.0 · Okolie · Conf Medium
Ring Iq Adaptability
83.8 · Billam-Smith · Conf Medium
67.3 · Okolie · Conf Medium
Counter Punching
71.8 · Billam-Smith · Conf Low
68.9 · Okolie · Conf Medium
Chin
89.1 · Billam-Smith · Conf Medium
Cardio Engine
87.9 · Billam-Smith · Conf High
64.5 · Okolie · Conf Medium
Style Profile
Billam-Smith: Boxer Puncher
·
Okolie: Boxer Puncher
Pressure Swarmer
24.0 · Billam-Smith · Conf Medium
Out Boxer
18.0 · Billam-Smith · Conf Medium
29.0 · Okolie · Conf Medium
Power Slugger
14.0 · Billam-Smith · Conf Medium
23.0 · Okolie · Conf Medium
Boxer Puncher
34.0 · Billam-Smith · Conf Medium
34.0 · Okolie · Conf High
Counter Puncher
10.0 · Billam-Smith · Conf Low
Stance Advantage
Billam-Smith: Vs Orthodox
·
Okolie: Vs Southpaw
Vs Orthodox
62.0 · Billam-Smith · Conf Medium
38.0 · Okolie · Conf Medium
Vs Southpaw
38.0 · Billam-Smith · Conf Medium
62.0 · Okolie · Conf Medium
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3
66.67 · Billam-Smith · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3
0 · Billam-Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Okolie · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
33.33 · Billam-Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Okolie · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3
75.35 · Billam-Smith · Conf High
50.33 · Okolie · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5
80 · Billam-Smith · Conf High
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative
80.83 · Billam-Smith · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
32.5 · Billam-Smith · Conf High
69.05 · Okolie · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
33.33 · Billam-Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Okolie · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
75.35 · Billam-Smith · Conf High
51.41 · Okolie · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative
90 · Billam-Smith · Conf High
92.5 · Okolie · Conf High
Matchup Factors
Weight Class Difference
Billam-Smith stays in class.
Okolie moves down 2 classes.
Interaction: No advantage.
Reach vs Height Delta
Billam-Smith reach: 193.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 2.0cm
Okolie reach: 210.0cm height: 196.0cm delta: 14.0cm
Interaction: high advantage Okolie.
Stance Interaction
Billam-Smith advantage against orthodox: 62.0
Okolie advantage against southpaw: 62.0
Interaction: medium advantage Billam-Smith.
Style Interaction
Billam-Smith style: Boxer Puncher
Okolie style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: No advantage.