MATCHUP ENGINE

Mikaelyan vs Briedis 10 Nov 2018 Winner: Mikaelian 61.79% ROI: 1,073.99%

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Result details

Odds 19

Implied 5.26%

Edge 56.53%

Lean Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:25:46 UTC

Fighter details

Noel Mikaelyan

Score 68.11 · 24-3-0 (12 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.622

Stance Orthodox · H/R 190cm / 191cm · DE

Mairis Briedis

Score 65.70 · 28-3-0 (20 KO)

Age 41 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.666

Stance Orthodox · H/R 186cm / 190cm · N/A

Noel Mikaelyan

Age: 35
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 68.11
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.622
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 190cm / 191cm
Nationality: DE
Career snapshot: 24-3-0 (12 KO)

10 Nov 2018

Projected Win Split

Winner

Mikaelian

62% Mikaelyan

38% Briedis

Win probability: 61.79%
Market odds: 19
Implied probability: 5.26%
Expected ROI (1u): 1,073.99%
Value edge: 56.53%
Lean assessment: Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:25:46 UTC

Mairis Briedis

Age: 41
Fighter rank: #2
Current model score: 65.70
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.666
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 186cm / 190cm
Nationality: N/A
Career snapshot: 28-3-0 (20 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Mikaelyan FiteQuant · Briedis FiteQuant

Punching Power

63.2 · Mikaelyan · Conf Medium

78.5 · Briedis · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

73.5 · Mikaelyan · Conf Medium

68.5 · Briedis · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

67.5 · Mikaelyan · Conf Low

66.5 · Briedis · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

62.6 · Mikaelyan · Conf Medium

54.0 · Briedis · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

83.9 · Mikaelyan · Conf Medium

86.8 · Briedis · Conf High

Distance Footwork Control

82.2 · Mikaelyan · Conf Medium

78.5 · Briedis · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

84.1 · Mikaelyan · Conf Medium

84.9 · Briedis · Conf High

Counter Punching

76.9 · Mikaelyan · Conf Medium

85.8 · Briedis · Conf Medium

Chin

87.9 · Mikaelyan · Conf Medium

91.2 · Briedis · Conf High

Cardio Engine

82.2 · Mikaelyan · Conf Medium

74.6 · Briedis · Conf High

Style Profile

Mikaelyan: Boxer Puncher · Briedis: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 · Mikaelyan · Conf Low

15.0 · Briedis · Conf Low

Out Boxer

35.0 · Mikaelyan · Conf High

18.0 · Briedis · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

10.0 · Mikaelyan · Conf Medium

24.0 · Briedis · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

38.0 · Mikaelyan · Conf High

31.0 · Briedis · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

9.0 · Mikaelyan · Conf Low

12.0 · Briedis · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Mikaelyan: Vs Orthodox · Briedis: Vs Southpaw

Vs Orthodox

62.0 · Mikaelyan · Conf Medium

42.0 · Briedis · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

38.0 · Mikaelyan · Conf Medium

58.0 · Briedis · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Mikaelyan · Conf High

33.33 · Briedis · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Mikaelyan · Conf High

0 · Briedis · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 · Mikaelyan · Conf High

0 · Briedis · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

76.85 · Mikaelyan · Conf High

73.02 · Briedis · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

80 · Mikaelyan · Conf High

60 · Briedis · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.17 · Mikaelyan · Conf High

64.88 · Briedis · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

33.33 · Mikaelyan · Conf High

0 · Briedis · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 · Mikaelyan · Conf High

0 · Briedis · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

76.85 · Mikaelyan · Conf High

73.02 · Briedis · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 · Mikaelyan · Conf High

70 · Briedis · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Mikaelyan stays in class.

Briedis stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Mikaelyan reach: 191.0cm height: 190.0cm delta: 1.0cm

Briedis reach: 190.0cm height: 186.0cm delta: 4.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Briedis.

Stance Interaction

Mikaelyan advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Briedis advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: medium advantage Mikaelyan.

Style Interaction

Mikaelyan style: Boxer Puncher

Briedis style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.