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Cieślak vs Okolie 27 Feb 2022 Winner: Cieślak 54.00% ROI: 277.98%

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Result details

Odds 7

Implied 14.29%

Edge 39.71%

Lean Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:23:16 UTC

Fighter details

Michał Cieślak

Score 65.98 · 28-2-0 (22 KO)

Age 36 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.566

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 201cm · PL

Lawrence Okolie

Score 62.51 · 23-1-0 (17 KO)

Age 33 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.592

Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 210cm · GB

Michał Cieślak

Age: 36
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 65.98
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.566
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 191cm / 201cm
Nationality: PL
Career snapshot: 28-2-0 (22 KO)

27 Feb 2022

Projected Win Split

Winner

Cieślak

54% Cieślak

46% Okolie

Win probability: 54.00%
Market odds: 7
Implied probability: 14.29%
Expected ROI (1u): 277.98%
Value edge: 39.71%
Lean assessment: Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:23:16 UTC

Lawrence Okolie

Age: 33
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 62.51
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.592
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 196cm / 210cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 23-1-0 (17 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Cieślak FiteQuant · Okolie FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

90.8 · Cieślak · Conf High

84.5 · Okolie · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

74.7 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

65.6 · Okolie · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

68.7 · Cieślak · Conf Low

58.9 · Okolie · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

81.1 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

46.8 · Okolie · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

64.4 · Cieślak · Conf Low

56.6 · Okolie · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

67.8 · Cieślak · Conf Low

80.0 · Okolie · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

63.6 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

67.3 · Okolie · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

67.6 · Cieślak · Conf Low

68.9 · Okolie · Conf Medium

Chin

75.4 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

67.5 · Okolie · Conf Low

Cardio Engine

64.7 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

64.5 · Okolie · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Cieślak: Power Slugger · Okolie: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

8.0 · Okolie · Conf Low

Out Boxer

12.0 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

29.0 · Okolie · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

34.0 · Cieślak · Conf High

23.0 · Okolie · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

28.0 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

34.0 · Okolie · Conf High

Counter Puncher

8.0 · Cieślak · Conf Low

6.0 · Okolie · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Cieślak: Vs Orthodox · Okolie: Vs Southpaw

Vs Orthodox

64.0 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

38.0 · Okolie · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

36.0 · Cieślak · Conf Medium

62.0 · Okolie · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

100 · Cieślak · Conf High

100 · Okolie · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

100 · Cieślak · Conf High

66.67 · Okolie · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 · Cieślak · Conf High

66.67 · Okolie · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

44.67 · Cieślak · Conf High

50.33 · Okolie · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

100 · Cieślak · Conf High

85 · Okolie · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 · Cieślak · Conf High

100 · Okolie · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 · Cieślak · Conf High

69.05 · Okolie · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 · Cieślak · Conf High

66.67 · Okolie · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

46.27 · Cieślak · Conf High

51.41 · Okolie · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 · Cieślak · Conf High

92.5 · Okolie · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Cieślak stays in class.

Okolie moves down 2 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Cieślak reach: 201.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 10.0cm

Okolie reach: 210.0cm height: 196.0cm delta: 14.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Okolie.

Stance Interaction

Cieślak advantage against orthodox: 64.0

Okolie advantage against southpaw: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Cieślak.

Style Interaction

Cieślak style: Power Slugger

Okolie style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Okolie.