OWN YOUR EDGE
Smith vs Beterbiev 13 Jan 2024 Winner: Smith 59.71% ROI: 234.40%
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Result details

Odds 5.6

Implied 17.86%

Edge 41.86%

Lean Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:21:29 UTC

Fighter details
Callum Smith

Score 67.59 · 31-2-0 (22 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.639

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 198cm · GB

Artur Beterbiev

Score 75.43 · 21-1-0 (20 KO)

Age 41 · Rank #5 · Confidence Medium 0.709

Stance Orthodox · H/R 182cm / 185cm · RU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Smith FiteQuant · Beterbiev FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

88.9 · Smith · Conf High
84.5 · Beterbiev · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

72.6 · Smith · Conf Medium
88.9 · Beterbiev · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

70.6 · Smith · Conf Medium
74.4 · Beterbiev · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

62.4 · Smith · Conf Medium
89.5 · Beterbiev · Conf High

Defensive Skill

81.1 · Smith · Conf Medium
84.3 · Beterbiev · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

83.1 · Smith · Conf Medium
78.2 · Beterbiev · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

80.2 · Smith · Conf Medium
87.9 · Beterbiev · Conf High

Counter Punching

76.4 · Smith · Conf Medium
86.5 · Beterbiev · Conf Medium

Chin

79.9 · Smith · Conf Medium
93.0 · Beterbiev · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

72.8 · Smith · Conf Medium
83.9 · Beterbiev · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Smith: Boxer Puncher · Beterbiev: Power Slugger

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 · Smith · Conf Low
34.0 · Beterbiev · Conf High

Out Boxer

26.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
4.0 · Beterbiev · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

24.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
41.0 · Beterbiev · Conf High

Boxer Puncher

34.0 · Smith · Conf High
18.0 · Beterbiev · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

6.0 · Smith · Conf Low
3.0 · Beterbiev · Conf Medium

Stance Advantage

Smith: Vs Orthodox · Beterbiev: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

66.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
58.0 · Beterbiev · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

34.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
42.0 · Beterbiev · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Beterbiev · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Smith · Conf High
33.33 · Beterbiev · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 · Smith · Conf High
0 · Beterbiev · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

68.12 · Smith · Conf High
79.36 · Beterbiev · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

80 · Smith · Conf High
80 · Beterbiev · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.67 · Smith · Conf High
83.33 · Beterbiev · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

51.67 · Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Beterbiev · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 · Smith · Conf High
0 · Beterbiev · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

68.12 · Smith · Conf High
79.36 · Beterbiev · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 · Smith · Conf High
90 · Beterbiev · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Smith stays in class.

Beterbiev moves up 3 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Smith reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Beterbiev reach: 185.0cm height: 182.0cm delta: 3.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Smith.

Stance Interaction

Smith advantage against orthodox: 66.0

Beterbiev advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Smith.

Style Interaction

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Beterbiev style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Smith.

Model: FiteQuant

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