OWN YOUR EDGE
Smith vs Álvarez 19 Dec 2020 Winner: Barragán 60.58% ROI: -29.32%
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Result details

Odds 1.1667

Implied 85.71%

Edge -25.13%

Lean No Value

2026-03-23 16:24:08 UTC

Fighter details
Callum Smith

Score 67.59 · 31-2-0 (22 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.639

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 198cm · GB

Canelo Álvarez

Score 77.15 · 63-3-2 (39 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #5 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Orthodox · H/R 171cm / 179cm · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Smith FiteQuant · Álvarez FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

88.9 · Smith · Conf High
83.7 · Álvarez · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

72.6 · Smith · Conf Medium
88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Hand Speed

70.6 · Smith · Conf Medium
84.8 · Álvarez · Conf High

Pace Pressure

62.4 · Smith · Conf Medium
76.2 · Álvarez · Conf High

Defensive Skill

81.1 · Smith · Conf Medium
88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High

Distance Footwork Control

83.1 · Smith · Conf Medium
85.2 · Álvarez · Conf High

Ring Iq Adaptability

80.2 · Smith · Conf Medium
88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Counter Punching

76.4 · Smith · Conf Medium
88.6 · Álvarez · Conf High

Chin

79.9 · Smith · Conf Medium
88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High

Cardio Engine

72.8 · Smith · Conf Medium
76.9 · Álvarez · Conf High

Style Profile

Smith: Boxer Puncher · Álvarez: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 · Smith · Conf Low
14.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

26.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
11.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

24.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
20.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

34.0 · Smith · Conf High
37.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Counter Puncher

6.0 · Smith · Conf Low
18.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium

Stance Advantage

Smith: Vs Orthodox · Álvarez: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

66.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
58.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Vs Southpaw

34.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
42.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Smith · Conf High
0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 · Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

68.12 · Smith · Conf High
71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

80 · Smith · Conf High
80 · Álvarez · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.67 · Smith · Conf High
80.26 · Álvarez · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

51.67 · Smith · Conf High
30 · Álvarez · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 · Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

68.12 · Smith · Conf High
71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 · Smith · Conf High
80 · Álvarez · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Smith stays in class.

Álvarez moves up 5 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Smith reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Álvarez reach: 179.0cm height: 171.0cm delta: 8.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Álvarez.

Stance Interaction

Smith advantage against orthodox: 66.0

Álvarez advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Smith.

Style Interaction

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Álvarez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Model: FiteQuant

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