OWN YOUR EDGE
Smith vs Buatsi 22 Feb 2025 Winner: Smith 51.18% ROI: 35.64%
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Result details

Odds 2.65

Implied 37.74%

Edge 13.45%

Lean Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:20:24 UTC

Fighter details
Callum Smith

Score 67.59 · 31-2-0 (22 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.639

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 198cm · GB

Joshua Buatsi

Score 69.20 · 20-1-0 (13 KO)

Age 33 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.587

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 189cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Smith FiteQuant · Buatsi FiteQuant

Punching Power

88.9 · Smith · Conf High
84.5 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Punching Accuracy

72.6 · Smith · Conf Medium
77.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

70.6 · Smith · Conf Medium
80.8 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

62.4 · Smith · Conf Medium
75.9 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

81.1 · Smith · Conf Medium
82.6 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

83.1 · Smith · Conf Medium
81.7 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

80.2 · Smith · Conf Medium
84.2 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

76.4 · Smith · Conf Medium
75.8 · Buatsi · Conf Low

Chin

79.9 · Smith · Conf Medium
79.1 · Buatsi · Conf Low

Cardio Engine

72.8 · Smith · Conf Medium
82.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Smith: Boxer Puncher · Buatsi: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 · Smith · Conf Low
14.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

26.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
18.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

24.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
17.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

34.0 · Smith · Conf High
39.0 · Buatsi · Conf High

Counter Puncher

6.0 · Smith · Conf Low
12.0 · Buatsi · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Smith: Vs Orthodox · Buatsi: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

66.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
72.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

34.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
28.0 · Buatsi · Conf Low

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Buatsi · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Smith · Conf High
0 · Buatsi · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 · Smith · Conf High
33.33 · Buatsi · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

68.12 · Smith · Conf High
75.72 · Buatsi · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

80 · Smith · Conf High
80 · Buatsi · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.67 · Smith · Conf High
83.33 · Buatsi · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

51.67 · Smith · Conf High
36.11 · Buatsi · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 · Smith · Conf High
33.33 · Buatsi · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

68.12 · Smith · Conf High
75.72 · Buatsi · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 · Smith · Conf High
90 · Buatsi · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Smith stays in class.

Buatsi stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Smith reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Buatsi reach: 189.0cm height: 188.0cm delta: 1.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Smith.

Stance Interaction

Smith advantage against orthodox: 66.0

Buatsi advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: low advantage Buatsi.

Style Interaction

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Buatsi style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Model: FiteQuant

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