OWN YOUR EDGE
Buatsi vs Smith 22 Feb 2025 Winner: Smith 51.18% ROI: 35.64%
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Result details

Odds 2.65

Implied 37.74%

Edge 13.45%

Lean Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:20:24 UTC

Fighter details
Joshua Buatsi

Score 69.20 · 20-1-0 (13 KO)

Age 33 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.587

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 189cm · GB

Callum Smith

Score 67.59 · 31-2-0 (22 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.639

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 198cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Buatsi FiteQuant · Smith FiteQuant

Punching Power

84.5 · Buatsi · Conf Medium
88.9 · Smith · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

77.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium
72.6 · Smith · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

80.8 · Buatsi · Conf Medium
70.6 · Smith · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

75.9 · Buatsi · Conf Medium
62.4 · Smith · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

82.6 · Buatsi · Conf Medium
81.1 · Smith · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

81.7 · Buatsi · Conf Medium
83.1 · Smith · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

84.2 · Buatsi · Conf Medium
80.2 · Smith · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

75.8 · Buatsi · Conf Low
76.4 · Smith · Conf Medium

Chin

79.1 · Buatsi · Conf Low
79.9 · Smith · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

82.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium
72.8 · Smith · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Buatsi: Boxer Puncher · Smith: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium
10.0 · Smith · Conf Low

Out Boxer

18.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium
26.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

17.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium
24.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

39.0 · Buatsi · Conf High
34.0 · Smith · Conf High

Counter Puncher

12.0 · Buatsi · Conf Low
6.0 · Smith · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Buatsi: Vs Orthodox · Smith: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

72.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium
66.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

28.0 · Buatsi · Conf Low
34.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Buatsi · Conf High
66.67 · Smith · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

0 · Buatsi · Conf High
33.33 · Smith · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 · Buatsi · Conf High
0 · Smith · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

75.72 · Buatsi · Conf High
68.12 · Smith · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

80 · Buatsi · Conf High
80 · Smith · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 · Buatsi · Conf High
81.67 · Smith · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

36.11 · Buatsi · Conf High
51.67 · Smith · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 · Buatsi · Conf High
0 · Smith · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.72 · Buatsi · Conf High
68.12 · Smith · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 · Buatsi · Conf High
80 · Smith · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Buatsi stays in class.

Smith stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Buatsi reach: 189.0cm height: 188.0cm delta: 1.0cm

Smith reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Smith.

Stance Interaction

Buatsi advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Smith advantage against orthodox: 66.0

Interaction: low advantage Buatsi.

Style Interaction

Buatsi style: Boxer Puncher

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Model: FiteQuant

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