MATCHUP ENGINE

Hutchinson vs Buatsi 21 Sep 2024 Winner: Buatsi 56.09% ROI: -18.98%

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Result details

Odds 1.4444

Implied 69.23%

Edge -13.14%

Lean No Value

2026-03-23 16:20:46 UTC

Fighter details

Willy Hutchinson

Score 63.52 · 19-2-0 (14 KO)

Age 27 · Rank #9 · Confidence Medium 0.581

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 185cm · GB

Joshua Buatsi

Score 69.20 · 20-1-0 (13 KO)

Age 33 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.587

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 189cm · GB

Willy Hutchinson

Age: 27
Fighter rank: #9
Current model score: 63.52
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.581
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 185cm / 185cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 19-2-0 (14 KO)

21 Sep 2024

Projected Win Split

Winner

Buatsi

44% Hutchinson

56% Buatsi

Win probability: 56.09%
Market odds: 1.4444
Implied probability: 69.23%
Expected ROI (1u): -18.98%
Value edge: -13.14%
Lean assessment: No Value

2026-03-23 16:20:46 UTC

Joshua Buatsi

Age: 33
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 69.20
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.587
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 188cm / 189cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 20-1-0 (13 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Hutchinson FiteQuant · Buatsi FiteQuant

Punching Power

84.5 · Hutchinson · Conf High

84.5 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Punching Accuracy

70.3 · Hutchinson · Conf Medium

77.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

74.8 · Hutchinson · Conf Medium

80.8 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

70.9 · Hutchinson · Conf Medium

75.9 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

69.2 · Hutchinson · Conf Medium

82.6 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

71.9 · Hutchinson · Conf Medium

81.7 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

68.8 · Hutchinson · Conf Medium

84.2 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

71.2 · Hutchinson · Conf Low

75.8 · Buatsi · Conf Low

Chin

70.2 · Hutchinson · Conf Medium

79.1 · Buatsi · Conf Low

Cardio Engine

67.6 · Hutchinson · Conf Medium

82.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Hutchinson: Boxer Puncher · Buatsi: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 · Hutchinson · Conf Low

14.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

18.0 · Hutchinson · Conf Medium

18.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

22.0 · Hutchinson · Conf Medium

17.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

34.0 · Hutchinson · Conf Medium

39.0 · Buatsi · Conf High

Counter Puncher

12.0 · Hutchinson · Conf Low

12.0 · Buatsi · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Hutchinson: Vs Orthodox · Buatsi: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

78.0 · Hutchinson · Conf Medium

72.0 · Buatsi · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

22.0 · Hutchinson · Conf Low

28.0 · Buatsi · Conf Low

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Hutchinson · Conf High

66.67 · Buatsi · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Hutchinson · Conf High

0 · Buatsi · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 · Hutchinson · Conf High

33.33 · Buatsi · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

61.26 · Hutchinson · Conf High

75.72 · Buatsi · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

80 · Hutchinson · Conf High

80 · Buatsi · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.56 · Hutchinson · Conf High

83.33 · Buatsi · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

52.78 · Hutchinson · Conf High

36.11 · Buatsi · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 · Hutchinson · Conf High

33.33 · Buatsi · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.26 · Hutchinson · Conf High

75.72 · Buatsi · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 · Hutchinson · Conf High

90 · Buatsi · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Hutchinson stays in class.

Buatsi stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Hutchinson reach: 185.0cm height: 185.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Buatsi reach: 189.0cm height: 188.0cm delta: 1.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Buatsi.

Stance Interaction

Hutchinson advantage against orthodox: 78.0

Buatsi advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: low advantage Hutchinson.

Style Interaction

Hutchinson style: Boxer Puncher

Buatsi style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.