OWN YOUR EDGE
Crawford vs Álvarez 13 Sep 2025 Winner: Crawford 65.59% ROI: 73.81%
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Result details

Odds 2.65

Implied 37.74%

Edge 27.85%

Lean Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:19:49 UTC

Fighter details
Terence Crawford

Score 81.50 · 42-0-0 (31 KO)

Age 38 · Rank #1 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 188cm · US

Canelo Álvarez

Score 77.15 · 63-3-2 (39 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #5 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Orthodox · H/R 171cm / 179cm · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Crawford FiteQuant · Álvarez FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

86.5 · Crawford · Conf High
83.7 · Álvarez · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

88.8 · Crawford · Conf High
88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Hand Speed

88.4 · Crawford · Conf High
84.8 · Álvarez · Conf High

Pace Pressure

84.8 · Crawford · Conf Medium
76.2 · Álvarez · Conf High

Defensive Skill

88.8 · Crawford · Conf High
88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High

Distance Footwork Control

88.2 · Crawford · Conf High
85.2 · Álvarez · Conf High

Ring Iq Adaptability

89.1 · Crawford · Conf High
88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Counter Punching

89.0 · Crawford · Conf High
88.6 · Álvarez · Conf High

Chin

87.6 · Crawford · Conf Medium
88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High

Cardio Engine

87.6 · Crawford · Conf High
76.9 · Álvarez · Conf High

Style Profile

Crawford: Boxer Puncher · Álvarez: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 · Crawford · Conf Medium
14.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

18.0 · Crawford · Conf Medium
11.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

12.0 · Crawford · Conf Medium
20.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

37.0 · Crawford · Conf High
37.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Counter Puncher

25.0 · Crawford · Conf High
18.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium

Stance Advantage

Crawford: Vs Southpaw · Álvarez: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

44.0 · Crawford · Conf High
58.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Vs Southpaw

56.0 · Crawford · Conf High
42.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

100 · Crawford · Conf High
66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Crawford · Conf High
0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 · Crawford · Conf High
66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

73.81 · Crawford · Conf High
71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

100 · Crawford · Conf High
80 · Álvarez · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 · Crawford · Conf High
80.26 · Álvarez · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

55.13 · Crawford · Conf High
30 · Álvarez · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 · Crawford · Conf High
66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.81 · Crawford · Conf High
71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 · Crawford · Conf High
80 · Álvarez · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Crawford stays in class.

Álvarez moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Crawford reach: 188.0cm height: 173.0cm delta: 15.0cm

Álvarez reach: 179.0cm height: 171.0cm delta: 8.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Crawford.

Stance Interaction

Crawford advantage against southpaw: 56.0

Álvarez advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Style Interaction

Crawford style: Boxer Puncher

Álvarez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Model: FiteQuant

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