MATCHUP ENGINE

Matchup weight class

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Lara vs Castaño Winner: Santoya 74.76% ROI: N/A

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Matchup weight class

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Result details

Odds N/A

Implied N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Erislandy Lara

Score 79.60 · 32-3-3 (19 KO)

Age 42 · Rank #1 · Confidence High 0.769

Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 192cm · US

Brian Castaño

Score 65.50 · 17-1-2 (12 KO)

Age 36 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.659

Stance Orthodox · H/R 169cm / 173cm · AR

Erislandy Lara

Age: 42
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 79.60
Fighter confidence: High 0.769
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 175cm / 192cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 32-3-3 (19 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Santoya

75% Lara

25% Castaño

Win probability: 74.76%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Brian Castaño

Age: 36
Fighter rank: #2
Current model score: 65.50
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.659
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 169cm / 173cm
Nationality: AR
Career snapshot: 17-1-2 (12 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Lara FiteQuant · Castaño FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

78.9 · Lara · Conf High

66.8 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Punching Accuracy

93.6 · Lara · Conf High

78.6 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

80.5 · Lara · Conf Medium

77.9 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

50.5 · Lara · Conf Medium

89.5 · Castaño · Conf High

Defensive Skill

95.6 · Lara · Conf High

75.9 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

94.3 · Lara · Conf High

70.6 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

93.5 · Lara · Conf High

78.6 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

95.4 · Lara · Conf High

71.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Chin

85.2 · Lara · Conf Medium

78.6 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

84.4 · Lara · Conf Medium

87.9 · Castaño · Conf High

Style Profile

Lara: Out Boxer · Castaño: Pressure Swarmer

Pressure Swarmer

5.0 · Lara · Conf High

41.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

42.0 · Lara · Conf High

7.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

8.0 · Lara · Conf High

18.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

28.0 · Lara · Conf High

25.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

17.0 · Lara · Conf Medium

9.0 · Castaño · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Lara: Vs Orthodox · Castaño: Vs Southpaw

Vs Orthodox

62.0 · Lara · Conf Medium

42.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

38.0 · Lara · Conf Medium

58.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

100 · Lara · Conf High

33.33 · Castaño · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 · Lara · Conf High

0 · Castaño · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 · Lara · Conf High

0 · Castaño · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

56.33 · Lara · Conf High

78.4 · Castaño · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

100 · Lara · Conf High

60 · Castaño · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 · Lara · Conf High

63.73 · Castaño · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 · Lara · Conf High

35.29 · Castaño · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 · Lara · Conf High

0 · Castaño · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

56.33 · Lara · Conf High

78.4 · Castaño · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 · Lara · Conf High

80 · Castaño · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Lara stays in class.

Castaño moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Lara reach: 192.0cm height: 175.0cm delta: 17.0cm

Castaño reach: 173.0cm height: 169.0cm delta: 4.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Lara.

Stance Interaction

Lara advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Castaño advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Style Interaction

Lara style: Out Boxer

Castaño style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: medium advantage Castaño.