OWN YOUR EDGE
Smith vs Jr. 02 Sep 2023 Winner: Jr 62.48% ROI: 49.95%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details

Odds 2.4

Implied 41.67%

Edge 20.81%

Lean Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:21:54 UTC

Fighter details
Liam Smith

Score 61.12 · 33-5-1 (20 KO)

Age 37 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.675

Stance Orthodox · H/R 177cm / 175cm · GB

Chris Eubank Jr.

Score 66.42 · 35-4-0 (25 KO)

Age 36 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.666

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 184cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Smith FiteQuant · Jr. FiteQuant

Punching Power

68.4 · Smith · Conf High
71.3 · Jr. · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

69.8 · Smith · Conf Medium
67.8 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

62.3 · Smith · Conf Medium
83.4 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

81.8 · Smith · Conf High
91.1 · Jr. · Conf High

Defensive Skill

68.3 · Smith · Conf Medium
68.2 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

62.8 · Smith · Conf Medium
68.6 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

71.6 · Smith · Conf Medium
66.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

76.5 · Smith · Conf Medium
74.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Chin

62.2 · Smith · Conf Medium
70.5 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

64.4 · Smith · Conf Medium
83.6 · Jr. · Conf High

Style Profile

Smith: Boxer Puncher · Jr.: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

26.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
30.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

8.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
14.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

18.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
16.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

34.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
32.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

14.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
8.0 · Jr. · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Smith: Vs Orthodox · Jr.: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

62.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
58.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

38.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
42.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

33.33 · Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Jr. · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Smith · Conf High
33.33 · Jr. · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 · Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Jr. · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

76.8 · Smith · Conf High
69.84 · Jr. · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

60 · Smith · Conf High
60 · Jr. · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

61.11 · Smith · Conf High
79.17 · Jr. · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

43.06 · Smith · Conf High
50 · Jr. · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 · Smith · Conf High
66.67 · Jr. · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

76.8 · Smith · Conf High
69.84 · Jr. · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 · Smith · Conf High
80 · Jr. · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Smith stays in class.

Jr. stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Smith reach: 175.0cm height: 177.0cm delta: -2.0cm

Jr. reach: 184.0cm height: 180.0cm delta: 4.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Jr..

Stance Interaction

Smith advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Jr. advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Style Interaction

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Jr. style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Model: FiteQuant

Explore models · Login