Smith
vs
McKenna
26 Apr 2025
Winner:
McKenna
72.20%
ROI: 16.50%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details
Odds 1.6135
Implied 61.98%
Edge 10.23%
Lean Value Bet
2026-03-23 16:20:11 UTC
Fighter details
Liam Smith
Score 61.12 · 33-5-1 (20 KO)
Age 37 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.675
Stance Orthodox · H/R 177cm / 175cm · GB
Aaron McKenna
Score 72.23 · 20-0-0 (10 KO)
Age 26 · Rank #9 · Confidence Medium 0.538
Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 191cm · IE
LS
Liam Smith
- Age
- 37
- Fighter rank
- #2
- Current model score
- 61.12
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.675
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 177cm / 175cm
- Nationality
- GB
- Career snapshot
- 33-5-1 (20 KO)
26 Apr 2025
Projected Win Split
- Win probability
- 72.20%
- Market odds
- 1.6135
- Implied probability
- 61.98%
- Expected ROI (1u)
- 16.50%
- Value edge
- 10.23%
- Lean assessment
- Value Bet
2026-03-23 16:20:11 UTC
AM
Aaron McKenna
- Age
- 26
- Fighter rank
- #9
- Current model score
- 72.23
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.538
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 185cm / 191cm
- Nationality
- IE
- Career snapshot
- 20-0-0 (10 KO)
Profile source:
Smith FiteQuant
·
McKenna FiteQuant
Punching Power
69.6 · McKenna · Conf Medium
Punching Accuracy
69.8 · Smith · Conf Medium
79.0 · McKenna · Conf Medium
Hand Speed
62.3 · Smith · Conf Medium
76.2 · McKenna · Conf Medium
Pace Pressure
73.4 · McKenna · Conf Medium
Defensive Skill
68.3 · Smith · Conf Medium
86.6 · McKenna · Conf Medium
Distance Footwork Control
62.8 · Smith · Conf Medium
88.0 · McKenna · Conf Medium
Ring Iq Adaptability
71.6 · Smith · Conf Medium
86.5 · McKenna · Conf Medium
Counter Punching
76.5 · Smith · Conf Medium
78.5 · McKenna · Conf Low
Chin
62.2 · Smith · Conf Medium
80.1 · McKenna · Conf Low
Cardio Engine
64.4 · Smith · Conf Medium
87.9 · McKenna · Conf Medium
Style Profile
Smith: Boxer Puncher
·
McKenna: Boxer Puncher
Pressure Swarmer
26.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
12.0 · McKenna · Conf Low
Out Boxer
8.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
26.0 · McKenna · Conf Medium
Power Slugger
18.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
14.0 · McKenna · Conf Medium
Boxer Puncher
34.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
40.0 · McKenna · Conf Medium
Counter Puncher
14.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
8.0 · McKenna · Conf Very Low
Stance Advantage
Smith: Vs Orthodox
·
McKenna: Vs Orthodox
Vs Orthodox
62.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
58.0 · McKenna · Conf Medium
Vs Southpaw
38.0 · Smith · Conf Medium
42.0 · McKenna · Conf Low
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3
33.33 · Smith · Conf High
100 · McKenna · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3
33.33 · Smith · Conf High
66.67 · McKenna · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
33.33 · Smith · Conf High
33.33 · McKenna · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3
55.84 · McKenna · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5
100 · McKenna · Conf High
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative
61.11 · Smith · Conf High
100 · McKenna · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
43.06 · Smith · Conf High
66.67 · McKenna · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
33.33 · Smith · Conf High
33.33 · McKenna · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
55.84 · McKenna · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative
100 · McKenna · Conf High
Matchup Factors
Weight Class Difference
Smith stays in class.
McKenna stays in class.
Interaction: No advantage.
Reach vs Height Delta
Smith reach: 175.0cm height: 177.0cm delta: -2.0cm
McKenna reach: 191.0cm height: 185.0cm delta: 6.0cm
Interaction: medium advantage McKenna.
Stance Interaction
Smith advantage against orthodox: 62.0
McKenna advantage against orthodox: 58.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Style Interaction
Smith style: Boxer Puncher
McKenna style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: No advantage.