OWN YOUR EDGE
McKenna vs Smith 26 Apr 2025 Winner: McKenna 72.20% ROI: 16.50%
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Result details

Odds 1.6135

Implied 61.98%

Edge 10.23%

Lean Value Bet

2026-03-23 16:20:11 UTC

Fighter details
Aaron McKenna

Score 72.23 · 20-0-0 (10 KO)

Age 26 · Rank #9 · Confidence Medium 0.538

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 191cm · IE

Liam Smith

Score 61.12 · 33-5-1 (20 KO)

Age 37 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.675

Stance Orthodox · H/R 177cm / 175cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: McKenna FiteQuant · Smith FiteQuant

Punching Power

69.6 · McKenna · Conf Medium
68.4 · Smith · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

79.0 · McKenna · Conf Medium
69.8 · Smith · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

76.2 · McKenna · Conf Medium
62.3 · Smith · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

73.4 · McKenna · Conf Medium
81.8 · Smith · Conf High

Defensive Skill

86.6 · McKenna · Conf Medium
68.3 · Smith · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

88.0 · McKenna · Conf Medium
62.8 · Smith · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

86.5 · McKenna · Conf Medium
71.6 · Smith · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

78.5 · McKenna · Conf Low
76.5 · Smith · Conf Medium

Chin

80.1 · McKenna · Conf Low
62.2 · Smith · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

87.9 · McKenna · Conf Medium
64.4 · Smith · Conf Medium

Style Profile

McKenna: Boxer Puncher · Smith: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 · McKenna · Conf Low
26.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

26.0 · McKenna · Conf Medium
8.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

14.0 · McKenna · Conf Medium
18.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

40.0 · McKenna · Conf Medium
34.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

8.0 · McKenna · Conf Very Low
14.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Stance Advantage

McKenna: Vs Orthodox · Smith: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

58.0 · McKenna · Conf Medium
62.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

42.0 · McKenna · Conf Low
38.0 · Smith · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

100 · McKenna · Conf High
33.33 · Smith · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 · McKenna · Conf High
33.33 · Smith · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 · McKenna · Conf High
33.33 · Smith · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

55.84 · McKenna · Conf High
76.8 · Smith · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

100 · McKenna · Conf High
60 · Smith · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 · McKenna · Conf High
61.11 · Smith · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 · McKenna · Conf High
43.06 · Smith · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 · McKenna · Conf High
33.33 · Smith · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

55.84 · McKenna · Conf High
76.8 · Smith · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 · McKenna · Conf High
70 · Smith · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

McKenna stays in class.

Smith stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

McKenna reach: 191.0cm height: 185.0cm delta: 6.0cm

Smith reach: 175.0cm height: 177.0cm delta: -2.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage McKenna.

Stance Interaction

McKenna advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Smith advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Style Interaction

McKenna style: Boxer Puncher

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Model: FiteQuant

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