MATCHUP ENGINE

Matchup weight class

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Charlo vs Álvarez Winner: Barragán 66.42% ROI: N/A

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Matchup weight class

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Result details

Odds N/A

Implied N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Jermell Charlo

Score 68.18 · 35-2-1 (19 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.671

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 185cm · US

Canelo Álvarez

Score 77.15 · 63-3-2 (39 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #5 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Orthodox · H/R 171cm / 179cm · MX

Jermell Charlo

Age: 35
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 68.18
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.671
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 180cm / 185cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 35-2-1 (19 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Barragán

34% Charlo

66% Álvarez

Win probability: 66.42%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Canelo Álvarez

Age: 35
Fighter rank: #5
Current model score: 77.15
Fighter confidence: High 0.774
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 171cm / 179cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 63-3-2 (39 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Charlo FiteQuant · Álvarez FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

87.4 · Charlo · Conf High

83.7 · Álvarez · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

74.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Hand Speed

87.8 · Charlo · Conf Medium

84.8 · Álvarez · Conf High

Pace Pressure

63.5 · Charlo · Conf Medium

76.2 · Álvarez · Conf High

Defensive Skill

79.1 · Charlo · Conf Medium

88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High

Distance Footwork Control

75.3 · Charlo · Conf Medium

85.2 · Álvarez · Conf High

Ring Iq Adaptability

79.4 · Charlo · Conf Medium

88.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Counter Punching

89.9 · Charlo · Conf Medium

88.6 · Álvarez · Conf High

Chin

85.1 · Charlo · Conf Medium

88.4 · Álvarez · Conf High

Cardio Engine

67.9 · Charlo · Conf Medium

76.9 · Álvarez · Conf High

Style Profile

Charlo: Boxer Puncher · Álvarez: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

10.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

14.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

18.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

11.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

20.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

20.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

39.0 · Charlo · Conf High

37.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Counter Puncher

13.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

18.0 · Álvarez · Conf Medium

Stance Advantage

Charlo: Vs Orthodox · Álvarez: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

58.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

58.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Vs Southpaw

42.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

42.0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

33.33 · Charlo · Conf High

66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Charlo · Conf High

0 · Álvarez · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 · Charlo · Conf High

66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

77.36 · Charlo · Conf High

71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

70 · Charlo · Conf High

80 · Álvarez · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

65.24 · Charlo · Conf High

80.26 · Álvarez · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

42.38 · Charlo · Conf High

30 · Álvarez · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 · Charlo · Conf High

66.67 · Álvarez · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

77.36 · Charlo · Conf High

71.73 · Álvarez · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

75 · Charlo · Conf High

80 · Álvarez · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Charlo stays in class.

Álvarez moves down 1 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Charlo reach: 185.0cm height: 180.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Álvarez reach: 179.0cm height: 171.0cm delta: 8.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Álvarez.

Stance Interaction

Charlo advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Álvarez advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Style Interaction

Charlo style: Boxer Puncher

Álvarez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.