MATCHUP ENGINE

Matchup weight class

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Castaño vs Charlo Winner: Charlo 64.40% ROI: N/A

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Matchup weight class

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Result details

Odds N/A

Implied N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Brian Castaño

Score 65.50 · 17-1-2 (12 KO)

Age 36 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.659

Stance Orthodox · H/R 169cm / 173cm · AR

Jermell Charlo

Score 68.18 · 35-2-1 (19 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.671

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / 185cm · US

Brian Castaño

Age: 36
Fighter rank: #2
Current model score: 65.50
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.659
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 169cm / 173cm
Nationality: AR
Career snapshot: 17-1-2 (12 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Charlo

36% Castaño

64% Charlo

Win probability: 64.40%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Jermell Charlo

Age: 35
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 68.18
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.671
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 180cm / 185cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 35-2-1 (19 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Castaño FiteQuant · Charlo FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

66.8 · Castaño · Conf Medium

87.4 · Charlo · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

78.6 · Castaño · Conf Medium

74.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

77.9 · Castaño · Conf Medium

87.8 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

89.5 · Castaño · Conf High

63.5 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

75.9 · Castaño · Conf Medium

79.1 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

70.6 · Castaño · Conf Medium

75.3 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

78.6 · Castaño · Conf Medium

79.4 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

71.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

89.9 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Chin

78.6 · Castaño · Conf Medium

85.1 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

87.9 · Castaño · Conf High

67.9 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Castaño: Pressure Swarmer · Charlo: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

41.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

10.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

7.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

18.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

18.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

20.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

25.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

39.0 · Charlo · Conf High

Counter Puncher

9.0 · Castaño · Conf Low

13.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Stance Advantage

Castaño: Vs Southpaw · Charlo: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

42.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

58.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

58.0 · Castaño · Conf Medium

42.0 · Charlo · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

33.33 · Castaño · Conf High

33.33 · Charlo · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

0 · Castaño · Conf High

33.33 · Charlo · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 · Castaño · Conf High

0 · Charlo · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

78.4 · Castaño · Conf High

77.36 · Charlo · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

60 · Castaño · Conf High

70 · Charlo · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

63.73 · Castaño · Conf High

65.24 · Charlo · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

35.29 · Castaño · Conf High

42.38 · Charlo · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 · Castaño · Conf High

0 · Charlo · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

78.4 · Castaño · Conf High

77.36 · Charlo · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 · Castaño · Conf High

75 · Charlo · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Castaño stays in class.

Charlo moves down 1 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Castaño reach: 173.0cm height: 169.0cm delta: 4.0cm

Charlo reach: 185.0cm height: 180.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Charlo.

Stance Interaction

Castaño advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Charlo advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Charlo.

Style Interaction

Castaño style: Pressure Swarmer

Charlo style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.