MATCHUP ENGINE

Matchup weight class

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Lubin vs Jr. Winner: Lubin 63.39% ROI: N/A

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Matchup weight class

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Result details

Odds N/A

Implied N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Erickson Lubin

Score 66.70 · 27-3-0 (19 KO)

Age 30 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.654

Stance Southpaw · H/R 177cm / 189cm · US

Vergil Ortiz Jr.

Score 75.15 · 24-0-0 (22 KO)

Age 28 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.610

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 178cm · US

Erickson Lubin

Age: 30
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 66.70
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.654
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 177cm / 189cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 27-3-0 (19 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Lubin

63% Lubin

37% Ortiz Jr.

Win probability: 63.39%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Vergil Ortiz Jr.

Age: 28
Fighter rank: Unranked
Current model score: 75.15
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.610
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / 178cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 24-0-0 (22 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Lubin FiteQuant · Jr. FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

79.8 · Lubin · Conf High

84.5 · Jr. · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

75.5 · Lubin · Conf Medium

90.3 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

84.8 · Lubin · Conf Medium

90.3 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

66.0 · Lubin · Conf Medium

89.5 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

74.5 · Lubin · Conf Medium

80.7 · Jr. · Conf Low

Distance Footwork Control

80.1 · Lubin · Conf Medium

79.8 · Jr. · Conf Low

Ring Iq Adaptability

72.2 · Lubin · Conf Medium

84.3 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

84.7 · Lubin · Conf Medium

84.0 · Jr. · Conf Low

Chin

56.4 · Lubin · Conf High

87.8 · Jr. · Conf Low

Cardio Engine

66.0 · Lubin · Conf Medium

84.6 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Lubin: Boxer Puncher · Jr.: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 · Lubin · Conf Low

30.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

18.0 · Lubin · Conf Medium

6.0 · Jr. · Conf Low

Power Slugger

22.0 · Lubin · Conf Medium

28.0 · Jr. · Conf High

Boxer Puncher

38.0 · Lubin · Conf High

32.0 · Jr. · Conf High

Counter Puncher

10.0 · Lubin · Conf Low

4.0 · Jr. · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Lubin: Vs Orthodox · Jr.: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

62.0 · Lubin · Conf Medium

58.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

38.0 · Lubin · Conf Medium

42.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Lubin · Conf High

100 · Jr. · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Lubin · Conf High

33.33 · Jr. · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 · Lubin · Conf High

33.33 · Jr. · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

67.97 · Lubin · Conf High

72.94 · Jr. · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

60 · Lubin · Conf High

100 · Jr. · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.63 · Lubin · Conf High

100 · Jr. · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

50 · Lubin · Conf High

66.67 · Jr. · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 · Lubin · Conf High

33.33 · Jr. · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.97 · Lubin · Conf High

72.94 · Jr. · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 · Lubin · Conf High

100 · Jr. · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Lubin stays in class.

Jr. moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Lubin reach: 189.0cm height: 177.0cm delta: 12.0cm

Jr. reach: 178.0cm height: 178.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Lubin.

Stance Interaction

Lubin advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Jr. advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: medium advantage Lubin.

Style Interaction

Lubin style: Boxer Puncher

Jr. style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.