MATCHUP ENGINE

Matchup weight class

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Rocha vs Curiel Winner: García 60.96% ROI: N/A

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Matchup weight class

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Result details

Odds N/A

Implied N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Alexis Rocha

Score 61.29 · 19-2-1 (16 KO)

Age 28 · Rank #7 · Confidence Medium 0.628

Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

Raul Curiel

Score 67.12 · 17-0-1 (14 KO)

Age 30 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.546

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 178cm · MX

Alexis Rocha

Age: 28
Fighter rank: #7
Current model score: 61.29
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.628
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 175cm / 178cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 19-2-1 (16 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

García

39% Rocha

61% Curiel

Win probability: 60.96%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Raul Curiel

Age: 30
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 67.12
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.546
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 178cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 17-0-1 (14 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Rocha FiteQuant · Curiel FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

68.9 · Rocha · Conf High

75.2 · Curiel · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

72.8 · Rocha · Conf Medium

80.9 · Curiel · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

70.1 · Rocha · Conf Medium

75.6 · Curiel · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

81.5 · Rocha · Conf Medium

72.8 · Curiel · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

68.0 · Rocha · Conf Medium

74.4 · Curiel · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

69.2 · Rocha · Conf Medium

75.6 · Curiel · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

66.7 · Rocha · Conf Medium

77.7 · Curiel · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

70.3 · Rocha · Conf Medium

75.0 · Curiel · Conf Low

Chin

60.7 · Rocha · Conf High

76.6 · Curiel · Conf Low

Cardio Engine

74.1 · Rocha · Conf Medium

79.4 · Curiel · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Rocha: Boxer Puncher · Curiel: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

21.0 · Rocha · Conf Medium

18.0 · Curiel · Conf Low

Out Boxer

10.0 · Rocha · Conf Low

10.0 · Curiel · Conf Low

Power Slugger

18.0 · Rocha · Conf Medium

31.0 · Curiel · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

39.0 · Rocha · Conf Medium

34.0 · Curiel · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

12.0 · Rocha · Conf Low

7.0 · Curiel · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Rocha: Vs Orthodox · Curiel: Vs Southpaw

Vs Orthodox

58.0 · Rocha · Conf Medium

42.0 · Curiel · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

42.0 · Rocha · Conf Medium

58.0 · Curiel · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Rocha · Conf High

66.67 · Curiel · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

0 · Rocha · Conf High

33.33 · Curiel · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 · Rocha · Conf High

66.67 · Curiel · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

60.39 · Rocha · Conf High

56.72 · Curiel · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

73.75 · Rocha · Conf High

90 · Curiel · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

78.07 · Rocha · Conf High

83.33 · Curiel · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

18.42 · Rocha · Conf High

60 · Curiel · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 · Rocha · Conf High

66.67 · Curiel · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

60.39 · Rocha · Conf High

56.72 · Curiel · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

86.88 · Rocha · Conf High

95 · Curiel · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Rocha stays in class.

Curiel moves down 2 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Rocha reach: 178.0cm height: 175.0cm delta: 3.0cm

Curiel reach: 178.0cm height: 173.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Curiel.

Stance Interaction

Rocha advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Curiel advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Style Interaction

Rocha style: Boxer Puncher

Curiel style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.