MATCHUP ENGINE

Nova vs Ford Winner: Ford 86.94% ROI: N/A

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Result details

Odds N/A

Implied N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Abraham Nova

Score 46.33 · 24-4-1 (17 KO)

Age 32 · Rank #4 · Confidence Medium 0.551

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 183cm · PR

Raymond Ford

Score 76.33 · 18-1-1 (8 KO)

Age 27 · Rank #6 · Confidence Medium 0.671

Stance Southpaw · H/R 168cm / 175cm · US

Abraham Nova

Age: 32
Fighter rank: #4
Current model score: 46.33
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.551
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 175cm / 183cm
Nationality: PR
Career snapshot: 24-4-1 (17 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Ford

13% Nova

87% Ford

Win probability: 86.94%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Raymond Ford

Age: 27
Fighter rank: #6
Current model score: 76.33
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.671
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 168cm / 175cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 18-1-1 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Nova FiteQuant · Ford FiteQuant

Punching Power

64.4 · Nova · Conf Medium

69.7 · Ford · Conf Medium

Punching Accuracy

47.3 · Nova · Conf Medium

88.6 · Ford · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

57.1 · Nova · Conf Low

92.1 · Ford · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

53.1 · Nova · Conf Medium

75.6 · Ford · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

50.2 · Nova · Conf Medium

92.3 · Ford · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

47.9 · Nova · Conf Low

90.9 · Ford · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

45.9 · Nova · Conf Medium

87.9 · Ford · Conf High

Counter Punching

47.8 · Nova · Conf Low

91.3 · Ford · Conf Medium

Chin

49.9 · Nova · Conf Medium

86.8 · Ford · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

56.3 · Nova · Conf Medium

87.9 · Ford · Conf High

Style Profile

Nova: Boxer Puncher · Ford: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 · Nova · Conf Low

10.0 · Ford · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

16.0 · Nova · Conf Low

31.0 · Ford · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

24.0 · Nova · Conf Medium

8.0 · Ford · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

30.0 · Nova · Conf Medium

39.0 · Ford · Conf High

Counter Puncher

12.0 · Nova · Conf Low

12.0 · Ford · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Nova: Vs Southpaw · Ford: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

38.0 · Nova · Conf Medium

68.0 · Ford · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

62.0 · Nova · Conf Medium

32.0 · Ford · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

33.33 · Nova · Conf High

100 · Ford · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Nova · Conf High

0 · Ford · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 · Nova · Conf High

66.67 · Ford · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

56.04 · Nova · Conf High

61.27 · Ford · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

47.5 · Nova · Conf High

85 · Ford · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

60.9 · Nova · Conf High

100 · Ford · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

47.44 · Nova · Conf High

23.53 · Ford · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 · Nova · Conf High

66.67 · Ford · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

56.04 · Nova · Conf High

61.27 · Ford · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

63.75 · Nova · Conf High

92.5 · Ford · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Nova stays in class.

Ford stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Nova reach: 183.0cm height: 175.0cm delta: 8.0cm

Ford reach: 175.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Nova.

Stance Interaction

Nova advantage against southpaw: 62.0

Ford advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Ford.

Style Interaction

Nova style: Boxer Puncher

Ford style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.