MATCHUP ENGINE

Matchup weight class

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Vargas vs Hovhannisyan Winner: Roldán 54.80% ROI: N/A

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Matchup weight class

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Result details

Odds N/A

Implied N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Rey Vargas

Score 67.49 · 36-1-1 (22 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.656

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 182cm · MX

Azat Hovhannisyan

Score 60.28 · 23-6-0 (17 KO)

Age 37 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.591

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 165cm · AM

Rey Vargas

Age: 35
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 67.49
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.656
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / 182cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 36-1-1 (22 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Roldán

55% Vargas

45% Hovhannisyan

Win probability: 54.80%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Azat Hovhannisyan

Age: 37
Fighter rank: Unranked
Current model score: 60.28
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.591
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 165cm
Nationality: AM
Career snapshot: 23-6-0 (17 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Vargas FiteQuant · Hovhannisyan FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

63.7 · Vargas · Conf Medium

84.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

79.9 · Vargas · Conf Medium

68.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

76.6 · Vargas · Conf Medium

70.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium

Pace Pressure

64.8 · Vargas · Conf Medium

82.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

89.4 · Vargas · Conf Medium

60.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

92.5 · Vargas · Conf High

61.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

86.0 · Vargas · Conf Medium

64.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

79.6 · Vargas · Conf Medium

58.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Low

Chin

76.2 · Vargas · Conf Medium

67.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

84.1 · Vargas · Conf Medium

74.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Vargas: Out Boxer · Hovhannisyan: Pressure Swarmer

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 · Vargas · Conf Medium

32.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

41.0 · Vargas · Conf High

8.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Low

Power Slugger

10.0 · Vargas · Conf Medium

30.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

29.0 · Vargas · Conf High

24.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

6.0 · Vargas · Conf Low

6.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Vargas: Vs Orthodox · Hovhannisyan: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

58.0 · Vargas · Conf Medium

62.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

42.0 · Vargas · Conf Medium

38.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

33.33 · Vargas · Conf High

66.67 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

0 · Vargas · Conf High

0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 · Vargas · Conf High

100 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

75.35 · Vargas · Conf High

55.7 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

70 · Vargas · Conf High

70 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 · Vargas · Conf High

73.72 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

31.43 · Vargas · Conf High

0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 · Vargas · Conf High

100 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.35 · Vargas · Conf High

55.7 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 · Vargas · Conf High

85 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Vargas stays in class.

Hovhannisyan moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Vargas reach: 182.0cm height: 178.0cm delta: 4.0cm

Hovhannisyan reach: 165.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: -3.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Vargas.

Stance Interaction

Vargas advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Hovhannisyan advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Style Interaction

Vargas style: Out Boxer

Hovhannisyan style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: medium advantage Hovhannisyan.