MATCHUP ENGINE

Matchup weight class

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Tsutsumi vs Donaire Winner: Tsutsumi 77.16% ROI: N/A

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Matchup weight class

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Result details

Odds N/A

Implied N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Seiya Tsutsumi

Score 68.96 · 13-0-3 (8 KO)

Age 30 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.594

Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 164cm · JP

Nonito Donaire

Score 49.47 · 43-10-0 (28 KO)

Age 43 · Rank #5 · Confidence Medium 0.719

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 173cm · US

Seiya Tsutsumi

Age: 30
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 68.96
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.594
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 166cm / 164cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 13-0-3 (8 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Tsutsumi

77% Tsutsumi

23% Donaire

Win probability: 77.16%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Nonito Donaire

Age: 43
Fighter rank: #5
Current model score: 49.47
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.719
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 43-10-0 (28 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Tsutsumi FiteQuant · Donaire FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

75.2 · Tsutsumi · Conf Medium

58.3 · Donaire · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

80.5 · Tsutsumi · Conf Medium

53.8 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

72.9 · Tsutsumi · Conf Low

52.0 · Donaire · Conf High

Pace Pressure

83.7 · Tsutsumi · Conf Medium

40.7 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

83.2 · Tsutsumi · Conf Medium

47.6 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

73.7 · Tsutsumi · Conf Medium

45.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

81.7 · Tsutsumi · Conf Medium

69.7 · Donaire · Conf High

Counter Punching

74.1 · Tsutsumi · Conf Low

80.3 · Donaire · Conf High

Chin

88.3 · Tsutsumi · Conf Medium

44.8 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

79.4 · Tsutsumi · Conf High

42.7 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Tsutsumi: Pressure Swarmer · Donaire: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

30.0 · Tsutsumi · Conf Medium

8.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

14.0 · Tsutsumi · Conf Low

14.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

18.0 · Tsutsumi · Conf Medium

27.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

28.0 · Tsutsumi · Conf Medium

31.0 · Donaire · Conf High

Counter Puncher

10.0 · Tsutsumi · Conf Low

20.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Stance Advantage

Tsutsumi: Vs Orthodox · Donaire: Vs Southpaw

Vs Orthodox

58.0 · Tsutsumi · Conf Medium

42.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

42.0 · Tsutsumi · Conf Medium

58.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Tsutsumi · Conf High

33.33 · Donaire · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

0 · Tsutsumi · Conf High

0 · Donaire · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 · Tsutsumi · Conf High

100 · Donaire · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

75.01 · Tsutsumi · Conf High

68.85 · Donaire · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

90 · Tsutsumi · Conf High

20 · Donaire · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

75.64 · Tsutsumi · Conf High

58.67 · Donaire · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30.77 · Tsutsumi · Conf High

28 · Donaire · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 · Tsutsumi · Conf High

100 · Donaire · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.01 · Tsutsumi · Conf High

68.85 · Donaire · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95 · Tsutsumi · Conf High

50 · Donaire · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Tsutsumi stays in class.

Donaire moves down 2 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Tsutsumi reach: 164.0cm height: 166.0cm delta: -2.0cm

Donaire reach: 173.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Donaire.

Stance Interaction

Tsutsumi advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Donaire advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Tsutsumi.

Style Interaction

Tsutsumi style: Pressure Swarmer

Donaire style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.