MATCHUP ENGINE

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Santiago vs Donaire Winner: Barrios 78.23% ROI: N/A

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Matchup weight class

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Result details

Odds N/A

Implied N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Alejandro Santiago

Score 61.19 · 25-5-3 (14 KO)

Age 30 · Rank #3 · Confidence Medium 0.604

Stance Orthodox · H/R 159cm / 166cm · MX

Nonito Donaire

Score 49.47 · 43-10-0 (28 KO)

Age 43 · Rank #5 · Confidence Medium 0.719

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 173cm · US

Alejandro Santiago

Age: 30
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 61.19
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.604
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 159cm / 166cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 25-5-3 (14 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Barrios

78% Santiago

22% Donaire

Win probability: 78.23%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Nonito Donaire

Age: 43
Fighter rank: #5
Current model score: 49.47
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.719
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 43-10-0 (28 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Santiago FiteQuant · Donaire FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

58.9 · Santiago · Conf Medium

58.3 · Donaire · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

70.7 · Santiago · Conf Medium

53.8 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

74.7 · Santiago · Conf Medium

52.0 · Donaire · Conf High

Pace Pressure

77.9 · Santiago · Conf Medium

40.7 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

77.8 · Santiago · Conf Medium

47.6 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

71.8 · Santiago · Conf Medium

45.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Ring Iq Adaptability

77.1 · Santiago · Conf Medium

69.7 · Donaire · Conf High

Counter Punching

72.3 · Santiago · Conf Medium

80.3 · Donaire · Conf High

Chin

73.1 · Santiago · Conf Medium

44.8 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

77.4 · Santiago · Conf High

42.7 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Santiago: Boxer Puncher · Donaire: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 · Santiago · Conf Low

8.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

22.0 · Santiago · Conf Medium

14.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

12.0 · Santiago · Conf Medium

27.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

38.0 · Santiago · Conf Medium

31.0 · Donaire · Conf High

Counter Puncher

10.0 · Santiago · Conf Low

20.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Stance Advantage

Santiago: Vs Orthodox · Donaire: Vs Southpaw

Vs Orthodox

62.0 · Santiago · Conf Medium

42.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

38.0 · Santiago · Conf Medium

58.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

33.33 · Santiago · Conf High

33.33 · Donaire · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

0 · Santiago · Conf High

0 · Donaire · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 · Santiago · Conf High

100 · Donaire · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

77.75 · Santiago · Conf High

68.85 · Donaire · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

60 · Santiago · Conf High

20 · Donaire · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

56.67 · Santiago · Conf High

58.67 · Donaire · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

20 · Santiago · Conf High

28 · Donaire · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 · Santiago · Conf High

100 · Donaire · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

77.75 · Santiago · Conf High

68.85 · Donaire · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 · Santiago · Conf High

50 · Donaire · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Santiago stays in class.

Donaire moves down 2 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Santiago reach: 166.0cm height: 159.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Donaire reach: 173.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Santiago.

Stance Interaction

Santiago advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Donaire advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: medium advantage Santiago.

Style Interaction

Santiago style: Boxer Puncher

Donaire style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.