MATCHUP ENGINE

Jr. vs Ocampo Winner: Jr. 91.48% ROI: N/A

Change fighters and profiles

Result details

Odds N/A

Implied N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Errol Spence Jr.

Score 75.28 · 28-1-0 (22 KO)

Age 36 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.699

Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 183cm · US

Carlos Ocampo

Score 50.92 · 38-4-0 (26 KO)

Age 30 · Rank #7 · Confidence Medium 0.549

Stance Orthodox · H/R 179cm / 185cm · MX

Errol Spence Jr.

Age: 36
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 75.28
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.699
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 175cm / 183cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 28-1-0 (22 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Jr.

91% Spence Jr.

9% Ocampo

Win probability: 91.48%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Carlos Ocampo

Age: 30
Fighter rank: #7
Current model score: 50.92
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.549
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 179cm / 185cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 38-4-0 (26 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Jr. FiteQuant · Ocampo FiteQuant

Punching Power

84.5 · Jr. · Conf High

67.3 · Ocampo · Conf Medium

Punching Accuracy

90.3 · Jr. · Conf Medium

53.1 · Ocampo · Conf Medium

Hand Speed

87.5 · Jr. · Conf Medium

49.1 · Ocampo · Conf Low

Pace Pressure

89.5 · Jr. · Conf High

67.1 · Ocampo · Conf Medium

Defensive Skill

85.2 · Jr. · Conf Medium

54.8 · Ocampo · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

87.1 · Jr. · Conf Medium

54.8 · Ocampo · Conf Low

Ring Iq Adaptability

86.4 · Jr. · Conf Medium

45.6 · Ocampo · Conf Medium

Counter Punching

82.1 · Jr. · Conf Medium

47.3 · Ocampo · Conf Low

Chin

79.1 · Jr. · Conf Medium

45.0 · Ocampo · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

87.9 · Jr. · Conf High

62.7 · Ocampo · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Jr.: Pressure Swarmer · Ocampo: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

34.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

18.0 · Ocampo · Conf Low

Out Boxer

14.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

12.0 · Ocampo · Conf Low

Power Slugger

18.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

27.0 · Ocampo · Conf Medium

Boxer Puncher

28.0 · Jr. · Conf High

35.0 · Ocampo · Conf Medium

Counter Puncher

6.0 · Jr. · Conf Medium

8.0 · Ocampo · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Jr.: Vs Orthodox · Ocampo: Vs Orthodox

Vs Orthodox

72.0 · Jr. · Conf High

62.0 · Ocampo · Conf Medium

Vs Southpaw

28.0 · Jr. · Conf High

38.0 · Ocampo · Conf Medium

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

66.67 · Jr. · Conf High

66.67 · Ocampo · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 · Jr. · Conf High

66.67 · Ocampo · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 · Jr. · Conf High

66.67 · Ocampo · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

72.94 · Jr. · Conf High

51.84 · Ocampo · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

80 · Jr. · Conf High

60 · Ocampo · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 · Jr. · Conf High

79.49 · Ocampo · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

57.05 · Jr. · Conf High

66.67 · Ocampo · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 · Jr. · Conf High

66.67 · Ocampo · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.94 · Jr. · Conf High

51.84 · Ocampo · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 · Jr. · Conf High

70 · Ocampo · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Jr. stays in class.

Ocampo stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Jr. reach: 183.0cm height: 175.0cm delta: 8.0cm

Ocampo reach: 185.0cm height: 179.0cm delta: 6.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Jr..

Stance Interaction

Jr. advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Ocampo advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Jr..

Style Interaction

Jr. style: Pressure Swarmer

Ocampo style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.