MATCHUP ENGINE

Matchup weight class

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Donaire vs Inoue Winner: Inoue 88.52% ROI: N/A

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Matchup weight class

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Result details

Odds N/A

Implied N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Nonito Donaire

Score 49.47 · 43-10-0 (28 KO)

Age 43 · Rank #5 · Confidence Medium 0.719

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 173cm · US

Naoya Inoue

Score 82.72 · 32-0-0 (27 KO)

Age 32 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.744

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 171cm · JP

Nonito Donaire

Age: 43
Fighter rank: #5
Current model score: 49.47
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.719
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 43-10-0 (28 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Inoue

11% Donaire

89% Inoue

Win probability: 88.52%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Naoya Inoue

Age: 32
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 82.72
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.744
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 171cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 32-0-0 (27 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Profile source: Donaire FiteQuant · Inoue FiteQuant

Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.

Punching Power

58.3 · Donaire · Conf High

88.8 · Inoue · Conf High

Punching Accuracy

53.8 · Donaire · Conf Medium

88.8 · Inoue · Conf High

Hand Speed

52.0 · Donaire · Conf High

88.8 · Inoue · Conf High

Pace Pressure

40.7 · Donaire · Conf Medium

87.6 · Inoue · Conf High

Defensive Skill

47.6 · Donaire · Conf Medium

87.1 · Inoue · Conf Medium

Distance Footwork Control

45.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

87.3 · Inoue · Conf High

Ring Iq Adaptability

69.7 · Donaire · Conf High

88.6 · Inoue · Conf High

Counter Punching

80.3 · Donaire · Conf High

88.6 · Inoue · Conf High

Chin

44.8 · Donaire · Conf Medium

86.7 · Inoue · Conf Medium

Cardio Engine

42.7 · Donaire · Conf Medium

87.1 · Inoue · Conf Medium

Style Profile

Donaire: Boxer Puncher · Inoue: Boxer Puncher

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

12.0 · Inoue · Conf Medium

Out Boxer

14.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

8.0 · Inoue · Conf Medium

Power Slugger

27.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

28.0 · Inoue · Conf High

Boxer Puncher

31.0 · Donaire · Conf High

42.0 · Inoue · Conf High

Counter Puncher

20.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

10.0 · Inoue · Conf Low

Stance Advantage

Donaire: Vs Southpaw · Inoue: Vs Southpaw

Vs Orthodox

42.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

42.0 · Inoue · Conf High

Vs Southpaw

58.0 · Donaire · Conf Medium

58.0 · Inoue · Conf High

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3

33.33 · Donaire · Conf High

100 · Inoue · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3

0 · Donaire · Conf High

33.33 · Inoue · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 · Donaire · Conf High

100 · Inoue · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3

68.85 · Donaire · Conf High

67.72 · Inoue · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5

20 · Donaire · Conf High

100 · Inoue · Conf High

Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative

58.67 · Donaire · Conf High

100 · Inoue · Conf High

KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

28 · Donaire · Conf High

61.49 · Inoue · Conf High

Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 · Donaire · Conf High

100 · Inoue · Conf High

Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

68.85 · Donaire · Conf High

67.72 · Inoue · Conf High

Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative

50 · Donaire · Conf High

100 · Inoue · Conf High

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Donaire stays in class.

Inoue moves down 1 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Reach vs Height Delta

Donaire reach: 173.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Inoue reach: 171.0cm height: 165.0cm delta: 6.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Inoue.

Stance Interaction

Donaire advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Inoue advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Style Interaction

Donaire style: Boxer Puncher

Inoue style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.