Hovhannisyan
vs
Valencia
06 Apr 2026
Winner:
Hovhannisyan
93.80%
ROI: 48.98%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details
Odds 1.5882
Implied 62.96%
Edge 30.84%
Lean Value Bet
2026-04-06 14:54:06 UTC
Fighter details
Azat Hovhannisyan
Score 60.28 · 23-6-0 (17 KO)
Age 37 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.591
Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 165cm · AM
Eduardo Valencia
Score 9.39 · 25-8-2 (10 KO)
Age N/A · Rank Unranked · Confidence N/A
Stance Orthodox · H/R 169cm / 173cm · MX
AH
Azat Hovhannisyan
- Age
- 37
- Fighter rank
- Unranked
- Current model score
- 60.28
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.591
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 168cm / 165cm
- Nationality
- AM
- Career snapshot
- 23-6-0 (17 KO)
06 Apr 2026
Projected Win Split
94% Hovhannisyan
6% Valencia
- Win probability
- 93.80%
- Market odds
- 1.5882
- Implied probability
- 62.96%
- Expected ROI (1u)
- 48.98%
- Value edge
- 30.84%
- Lean assessment
- Value Bet
2026-04-06 14:54:06 UTC
EV
Eduardo Valencia
- Age
- N/A
- Fighter rank
- Unranked
- Current model score
- 9.39
- Fighter confidence
- N/A
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 169cm / 173cm
- Nationality
- MX
- Career snapshot
- 25-8-2 (10 KO)
Profile source:
Hovhannisyan FiteQuant
·
Valencia FiteQuant
Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.
Punching Power
84.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Punching Accuracy
68.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Hand Speed
70.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Pace Pressure
82.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Defensive Skill
60.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Distance Footwork Control
61.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Ring Iq Adaptability
64.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Counter Punching
58.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Low
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Chin
67.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Cardio Engine
74.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Style Profile
Hovhannisyan: Pressure Swarmer
·
Valencia: Boxer Puncher
Pressure Swarmer
32.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Out Boxer
8.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Low
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Power Slugger
30.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Boxer Puncher
24.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Counter Puncher
6.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Low
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Stance Advantage
Hovhannisyan: Vs Orthodox
·
Valencia: N/A
Vs Orthodox
62.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Vs Southpaw
38.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3
66.67 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
66.67 · Valencia · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3
0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
100 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
33.33 · Valencia · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3
55.7 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
47.87 · Valencia · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5
70 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
80 · Valencia · Conf High
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative
73.72 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
69.27 · Valencia · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
100 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
33.33 · Valencia · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
55.7 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
49.52 · Valencia · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative
85 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
85.63 · Valencia · Conf High
Matchup Factors
Weight Class Difference
Hovhannisyan stays in class.
Valencia moves down 1 classes.
Interaction: No advantage.
Reach vs Height Delta
Hovhannisyan reach: 165.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: -3.0cm
Valencia reach: 173.0cm height: 169.0cm delta: 4.0cm
Interaction: medium advantage Valencia.
Stance Interaction
Hovhannisyan advantage against orthodox: 62.0
Valencia advantage against mixed stances: N/A
Interaction: No advantage.
Style Interaction
Hovhannisyan style: Pressure Swarmer
Valencia style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: No advantage.