Valencia
vs
Hovhannisyan
06 Apr 2026
Winner:
Hovhannisyan
93.80%
ROI: 48.98%
Change fighters and profiles
Result details
Odds 1.5882
Implied 62.96%
Edge 30.84%
Lean Value Bet
2026-04-06 14:54:06 UTC
Fighter details
Eduardo Valencia
Score 9.39 · 25-8-2 (10 KO)
Age N/A · Rank Unranked · Confidence N/A
Stance Orthodox · H/R 169cm / 173cm · MX
Azat Hovhannisyan
Score 60.28 · 23-6-0 (17 KO)
Age 37 · Rank Unranked · Confidence Medium 0.591
Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 165cm · AM
EV
Eduardo Valencia
- Age
- N/A
- Fighter rank
- Unranked
- Current model score
- 9.39
- Fighter confidence
- N/A
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 169cm / 173cm
- Nationality
- MX
- Career snapshot
- 25-8-2 (10 KO)
06 Apr 2026
Projected Win Split
6% Valencia
94% Hovhannisyan
- Win probability
- 93.80%
- Market odds
- 1.5882
- Implied probability
- 62.96%
- Expected ROI (1u)
- 48.98%
- Value edge
- 30.84%
- Lean assessment
- Value Bet
2026-04-06 14:54:06 UTC
AH
Azat Hovhannisyan
- Age
- 37
- Fighter rank
- Unranked
- Current model score
- 60.28
- Fighter confidence
- Medium 0.591
- Stance
- Orthodox
- Height/Reach
- 168cm / 165cm
- Nationality
- AM
- Career snapshot
- 23-6-0 (17 KO)
Profile source:
Valencia FiteQuant
·
Hovhannisyan FiteQuant
Matchup weight class must be selected for cross-division custom matchups. Weight-class factor is currently neutral.
Punching Power
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
84.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
Punching Accuracy
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
68.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
Hand Speed
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
70.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
Pace Pressure
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
82.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
Defensive Skill
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
60.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
Distance Footwork Control
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
61.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
Ring Iq Adaptability
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
64.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
Counter Punching
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
58.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Low
Chin
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
67.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
Cardio Engine
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
74.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
Style Profile
Valencia: Boxer Puncher
·
Hovhannisyan: Pressure Swarmer
Pressure Swarmer
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
32.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
Out Boxer
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
8.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Low
Power Slugger
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
30.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
Boxer Puncher
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
24.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
Counter Puncher
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
6.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Low
Stance Advantage
Valencia: N/A
·
Hovhannisyan: Vs Orthodox
Vs Orthodox
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
62.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
Vs Southpaw
N/A · Valencia · Conf No Data
38.0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf Medium
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Win Rate Last 3
66.67 · Valencia · Conf High
66.67 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts): Ko Rate Last 3
0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
33.33 · Valencia · Conf High
100 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts): Opponent Rating Last 3
47.87 · Valencia · Conf High
55.7 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts): Trend Score Last 5
80 · Valencia · Conf High
70 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
Win Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Win Rate Last 3 Relative
69.27 · Valencia · Conf High
73.72 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
KO Rate (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
0 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
Activity (% of Last 3 Bouts in Last 12 Months Relative): Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
33.33 · Valencia · Conf High
100 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
Opponent Rating (Last 3 Bouts Relative): Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
49.52 · Valencia · Conf High
55.7 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
Trend Score (Last 5 Bouts Relative): Trend Score Last 5 Relative
85.63 · Valencia · Conf High
85 · Hovhannisyan · Conf High
Matchup Factors
Weight Class Difference
Valencia stays in class.
Hovhannisyan moves up 1 classes.
Interaction: No advantage.
Reach vs Height Delta
Valencia reach: 173.0cm height: 169.0cm delta: 4.0cm
Hovhannisyan reach: 165.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: -3.0cm
Interaction: medium advantage Valencia.
Stance Interaction
Valencia advantage against mixed stances: N/A
Hovhannisyan advantage against orthodox: 62.0
Interaction: No advantage.
Style Interaction
Valencia style: Boxer Puncher
Hovhannisyan style: Pressure Swarmer
Interaction: No advantage.