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Results

Data as of: 2026-08-09 17:19:31 UTC

Results only confirm and affect headline metrics when winner + closing odds available.

Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.

Recent Results

Methodology Page 1 of 13 · 121 rows
Result filters Expand

Teófimo Rivera vs Rolando Romero · WINNER: Teófimo Rivera · CORRECT

Welterweight · 22 Aug 2026 · 1.4348 / 2.78 · VALUE · Pick Teófimo Rivera 75% · ROI +8.1%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-26 09:23:23 UTC

Yoenli Martinez vs Francisco Verón · WINNER: Yoenli Martinez · CORRECT

Middleweight · 22 Aug 2026 · 1.0625 / 7.6 · NO VALUE · Pick Yoenli Martinez 84%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-06 03:28:55 UTC

Ricky Mamone vs Aldo Blancas · WINNER: Aldo Blancas · CORRECT

Super lightweight · 22 Aug 2026 · 15 / 1.02 · NO VALUE · Pick Aldo Blancas 77%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-21 06:23:28 UTC

Israel Hernandez vs Carlos Lopez · WINNER: Carlos Lopez · CORRECT

Super lightweight · 22 Aug 2026 · 6 / 1.1053 · NO VALUE · Pick Carlos Lopez 70%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-17 10:12:15 UTC

Victor Santillan vs Gary Russell · WINNER: Gary Russell · CORRECT

Super bantamweight · 22 Aug 2026 · 1.6494 / 2.16 · VALUE · Pick Gary Russell 65% · ROI +40.2%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-31 11:57:47 UTC

Jackson Maríñez vs Avious Griffin · WINNER: Avious Griffin · CORRECT

Welterweight · 21 Aug 2026 · 7.5 / 1.069 · NO VALUE · Pick Avious Griffin 74%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-07 02:54:53 UTC

Lucrecia Manzur vs Amanda Serrano · WINNER: Amanda Serrano · CORRECT

Featherweight · 20 Aug 2026 · 11 / 1.05 · NO VALUE · Pick Amanda Serrano 84%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-29 02:55:24 UTC

Kaye Scott vs Claressa Shields · WINNER: Claressa Shields · CORRECT

Middleweight · 16 Aug 2026 · 16 / 1.0286 · NO VALUE · Pick Claressa Shields 57%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-21 02:00:12 UTC

Emmanuel Tagoe vs Ernesto Mercado · STATUS: Pending · PENDING

Super lightweight · 16 Aug 2026 · 11 / 1.04 · NO VALUE · Pick Ernesto Mercado 75%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-15 08:14:27 UTC

Roamer Angulo vs Atif Oberlton · WINNER: Atif Oberlton · CORRECT

Light heavyweight · 15 Aug 2026 · 8.3 / 1.05 · NO VALUE · Pick Atif Oberlton 77%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-12 14:55:24 UTC

Tracked Prediction Data

Unconfirmed results stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.

Methodology Page 1 of 7 · 121 rows
Prediction filters Expand

Bets

107

ROI

12.29%

Profit

13.1497

Avg Odds

1.6613

Accuracy

82.24%

Win/Loss

107

Avg Diff

-7.39%

Tracked

121

Advanced

Advanced Strategy Metrics

Calculated from settled bets selected by the active strategy.

All model leans · 107 settled bets

Forecast Quality

106 rows have both market lines

Brier score

0.164

Log loss

0.506

ECE

15.83%

Brier skill vs prediction odds

-45.03%

Market 0.113 · 106 comparable rows

Brier skill vs close

-55.21%

Market 0.106 · 106 comparable rows

Forecast Band Rows Avg Forecast Observed Gap
50-60% 35 55.48% 74.29% 18.80%
60-70% 33 64.87% 78.79% 13.92%
70-80% 27 74.19% 88.89% 14.70%
80-90% 11 83.84% 100.00% 16.16%
90-100% 1 97.99% 100.00% 2.01%

Market And Strategy

All model leans · 107 closing lines

Average CLV

+1.68%

Median CLV

0.00%

Beat-close rate

42.99%

Model-implied EV at close

+4.95%

Strategy Comparison

1u flat stake

Value only

32 bets

ROI 26.65% · Profit 8.5286 · Accuracy 59.38%

+Diff

32 bets

ROI 26.65% · Profit 8.5286 · Accuracy 59.38%

+5% diff

29 bets

ROI 23.78% · Profit 6.8972 · Accuracy 55.17%

+10% diff

25 bets

ROI 15.68% · Profit 3.9197 · Accuracy 48.00%

60%+ model

72 bets

ROI 5.65% · Profit 4.0709 · Accuracy 86.11%

All leans Active

107 bets

ROI 12.29% · Profit 13.1497 · Accuracy 82.24%

Dog +diff

21 bets

ROI 14.33% · Profit 3.0100 · Accuracy 42.86%

Prediction bout cards Expand

Victor Santillan vs Gary Russell

22 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Gary Russell

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

64.91%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

2.75 / 1.5

Implied

46.30%

Diff

18.61%

ROI

40.20%

Profit

1.1600

Israel Hernandez vs Carlos Lopez

22 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Carlos Lopez

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

70.46%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

Pick 1.1053

Implied

90.47%

Diff

-20.01%

ROI

-22.12%

Profit

0.1053

Ricky Mamone vs Aldo Blancas

22 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Aldo Blancas

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

77.02%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

15 / 1.02

Implied

98.04%

Diff

-21.02%

ROI

-21.44%

Profit

0.0200

Yoenli Martinez vs Francisco Verón

22 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Yoenli Martinez

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

83.56%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

Pick 1.0625

Implied

94.12%

Diff

-10.55%

ROI

-11.21%

Profit

0.0625

Teófimo Rivera vs Rolando Romero

22 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Teófimo Rivera

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

75.31%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

1.3279 / 3.15

Implied

69.70%

Diff

5.62%

ROI

8.06%

Profit

0.4348

Lucrecia Manzur vs Amanda Serrano

20 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Amanda Serrano

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

83.67%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

11.5 / 1.04

Implied

95.24%

Diff

-11.57%

ROI

-12.15%

Profit

0.0500

Emmanuel Tagoe vs Ernesto Mercado

16 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Ernesto Mercado

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

74.87%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

11 / 1.04

Implied

96.15%

Diff

-21.29%

ROI

-22.14%

Profit

N/A

Kaye Scott vs Claressa Shields

16 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Claressa Shields

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

57.40%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

17 / 1.02

Implied

97.22%

Diff

-39.82%

ROI

-40.96%

Profit

0.0286

Danielle Perkins vs Olivia Curry

15 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Danielle Perkins

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

90.95%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

1.1333 / 5.3

Implied

88.24%

Diff

2.71%

ROI

3.07%

Profit

N/A

Roamer Angulo vs Atif Oberlton

15 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Atif Oberlton

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

76.82%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

10 / 1.063

Implied

95.24%

Diff

-18.42%

ROI

-19.34%

Profit

0.0500

Michael Zerafa vs Alejandro Ortiz

12 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Michael Zerafa

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

75.65%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

1.083 / 8

Implied

92.86%

Diff

-17.21%

ROI

-18.53%

Profit

0.0769

John Parker vs Nikolas Charalampous

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Nikolas Charalampous

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

60.03%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

2.75 / 1.4444

Implied

69.23%

Diff

-9.20%

ROI

-13.29%

Profit

N/A

Shurretta Metcalf vs Amanda Galle

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Shurretta Metcalf

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

67.05%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

2.25 / 1.625

Implied

41.15%

Diff

25.90%

ROI

62.93%

Profit

-1.0000

Sean Hemphill vs Gradus Kraus

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Gradus Kraus

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

58.24%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

9 / 1.063

Implied

91.67%

Diff

-33.43%

ROI

-36.47%

Profit

0.0909

Tammara Thibeault vs Desley Robinson

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Tammara Thibeault

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

66.52%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

1.2222 / 3.9

Implied

80.77%

Diff

-14.25%

ROI

-17.65%

Profit

0.2381

Tyler Denny vs Callum Walsh

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Callum Walsh

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

65.03%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

5.5 / 1.1669

Implied

80.39%

Diff

-15.36%

ROI

-19.11%

Profit

0.2439

Sam Hickey vs Brad Axe

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Sam Hickey

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

80.00%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

1.071 / 8

Implied

92.86%

Diff

-12.86%

ROI

-13.85%

Profit

0.0769

Raúl Curiel vs Quinton Randall

02 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Quinton Randall

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

51.95%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

1.091 / 7.5

Implied

16.13%

Diff

35.82%

ROI

222.08%

Profit

-1.0000

Paul Kroll vs Charles Conwell

02 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Charles Conwell

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

60.61%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

6 / 1.1431

Implied

84.62%

Diff

-24.01%

ROI

-28.37%

Profit

0.1818

Model: FiteQuant

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