Nahir Albright vs Keyshawn Davis
17 May 2026
Lean
Keyshawn Davis
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
64.50%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
92.34%
Diff
-27.84%
ROI
-30.15%
Profit
0.0830
Data as of: 2026-05-17 05:50:07 UTC
Rolling window. Upcoming stays live until confirmation or the day after the fight; overdue unresolved bouts appear here as pending.
Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.
Yan Guerrero vs Cristian Cruz · WINNER: Yan Guerrero · CORRECT
Featherweight · 17 May 2026 · UD · R9 · 1.0714 / 8.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Yan Guerrero 80%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Nahir Albright vs Keyshawn Davis · WINNER: Keyshawn Davis · CORRECT
Lightweight · 17 May 2026 · UD · R11 · 13 / 1.0357 · NO VALUE · Pick Keyshawn Davis 64%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Filip Hrgovir vs Dave Allen · WINNER: Filip Hrgovir · CORRECT
Heavyweight · 16 May 2026 · TKO · R9 · 1.1099 / 6.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Filip Hrgović 73%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Eric Howard vs Dedrick Crocklem · WINNER: Dedrick Crocklem · CORRECT
Super featherweight · 16 May 2026 · UD · N/A · 9.5 / 1.063 · NO VALUE · Pick Dedrick Crocklem 71%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Shane Mosley vs Serhii Bohachuk · WINNER: Shane Mosley · CORRECT
Middleweight · 11 May 2026 · TKO · R9 · 3.3 / 1.3125 · VALUE · Pick Shane Mosley 59% · ROI +75.8%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Andreas Katzourakis vs Misael Olivas · STATUS: Pending · PENDING
Middleweight · 10 May 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.4762 / 2.6 · VALUE · Pick Misael Uziel Rodríguez Olivas 62%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 00:30:03 UTC
Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois · WINNER: Daniel Dubois · INCORRECT
Heavyweight · 09 May 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 1.7042 / 2.12 · NO VALUE · Pick Fabio Wardley 53%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Carlos Mercado vs Atif Oberlton · WINNER: Atif Oberlton · CORRECT
Super middleweight · 09 May 2026 · TKO · R10 · 6.5 / 1.1111 · NO VALUE · Pick Atif Oberlton 55%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Angelo Leo vs Ra'eese Aleem · STATUS: Pending · PENDING
Featherweight · 09 May 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.3497 / 3.05 · NO VALUE · Pick Angelo Miguel Leo 60%
Last model prediction time: 2026-04-27 15:41:05 UTC
Jaime Escobedo vs José García · WINNER: Jaime Escobedo · CORRECT
Super middleweight · 03 May 2026 · UD · R11 · 1.4545 / 2.65 · VALUE · Pick Jaime Escobedo 71% · ROI +3.7%
Last model prediction time: N/A
Yan Guerrero vs Cristian Cruz · WINNER: Yan Guerrero · CORRECT
Featherweight · 17 May 2026 · UD · R9 · 1.0714 / 8.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Yan Guerrero 80%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Nahir Albright vs Keyshawn Davis · WINNER: Keyshawn Davis · CORRECT
Lightweight · 17 May 2026 · UD · R11 · 13 / 1.0357 · NO VALUE · Pick Keyshawn Davis 64%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Filip Hrgovir vs Dave Allen · WINNER: Filip Hrgovir · CORRECT
Heavyweight · 16 May 2026 · TKO · R9 · 1.1099 / 6.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Filip Hrgović 73%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Eric Howard vs Dedrick Crocklem · WINNER: Dedrick Crocklem · CORRECT
Super featherweight · 16 May 2026 · UD · N/A · 9.5 / 1.063 · NO VALUE · Pick Dedrick Crocklem 71%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Shane Mosley vs Serhii Bohachuk · WINNER: Shane Mosley · CORRECT
Middleweight · 11 May 2026 · TKO · R9 · 3.3 / 1.3125 · VALUE · Pick Shane Mosley 59% · ROI +75.8%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Andreas Katzourakis vs Misael Olivas · STATUS: Pending · PENDING
Middleweight · 10 May 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.4762 / 2.6 · VALUE · Pick Misael Uziel Rodríguez Olivas 62%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 00:30:03 UTC
Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois · WINNER: Daniel Dubois · INCORRECT
Heavyweight · 09 May 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 1.7042 / 2.12 · NO VALUE · Pick Fabio Wardley 53%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Carlos Mercado vs Atif Oberlton · WINNER: Atif Oberlton · CORRECT
Super middleweight · 09 May 2026 · TKO · R10 · 6.5 / 1.1111 · NO VALUE · Pick Atif Oberlton 55%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Angelo Leo vs Ra'eese Aleem · STATUS: Pending · PENDING
Featherweight · 09 May 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.3497 / 3.05 · NO VALUE · Pick Angelo Miguel Leo 60%
Last model prediction time: 2026-04-27 15:41:05 UTC
Jaime Escobedo vs José García · WINNER: Jaime Escobedo · CORRECT
Super middleweight · 03 May 2026 · UD · R11 · 1.4545 / 2.65 · VALUE · Pick Jaime Escobedo 71% · ROI +3.7%
Last model prediction time: N/A
Treats every locked model lean with usable odds as a one-unit strategy bet. Pending rows stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.
Tracked
32
Win/Loss
24
Bets
24
Profit
4.0714
Avg Diff
-3.37%
Accuracy
79.17%
ROI
16.96%
Profit (u)
4.0714
Avg diff vs implied
-3.37%
Strategy Comparison
1u flat stake| Strategy | Bets | Profit | ROI | Accuracy | Avg Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Locked value only | 10 | 2.6499 | 26.50% | 60.00% | 20.41% |
| Any positive diff | 10 | 2.6499 | 26.50% | 60.00% | 20.41% |
| Diff vs implied >= 5% | 9 | 2.1954 | 24.39% | 55.56% | 22.39% |
| Diff vs implied >= 10% | 9 | 2.1954 | 24.39% | 55.56% | 22.39% |
| Model confidence >= 60% | 13 | 1.0561 | 8.12% | 84.62% | -2.05% |
| All model leans | 24 | 4.0714 | 16.96% | 79.17% | -3.37% |
| Underdog positive diff | 7 | 1.0000 | 14.29% | 42.86% | 23.70% |
Value only
10 bets
ROI 26.50% · Profit 2.6499 · Accuracy 60.00%
+Diff
10 bets
ROI 26.50% · Profit 2.6499 · Accuracy 60.00%
+5% diff
9 bets
ROI 24.39% · Profit 2.1954 · Accuracy 55.56%
+10% diff
9 bets
ROI 24.39% · Profit 2.1954 · Accuracy 55.56%
60%+ model
13 bets
ROI 8.12% · Profit 1.0561 · Accuracy 84.62%
All leans
24 bets
ROI 16.96% · Profit 4.0714 · Accuracy 79.17%
Dog +diff
7 bets
ROI 14.29% · Profit 1.0000 · Accuracy 42.86%
| Date | Bout | Model Lean | Win % | Implied % | Diff vs Implied | ROI % | Action | Outcome | Profit | Verdict | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Nahir Albright vs Keyshawn Davis | Keyshawn Davis | 64.50% | 92.34% | -27.84% | -30.15% | BET | WIN | 0.0830 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 17 May 2026 | Yan Guerrero vs Cristian Cruz | Yan Guerrero | 79.94% | 93.37% | -13.43% | -14.39% | BET | WIN | 0.0710 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 16 May 2026 | Eric Howard vs Dedrick Crocklem | Dedrick Crocklem | 71.13% | 94.07% | -22.95% | -24.39% | BET | WIN | 0.0630 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 16 May 2026 | Filip Hrgovir vs Dave Allen | Filip Hrgović | 72.99% | 90.10% | -17.11% | -18.99% | BET | WIN | 0.1099 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 11 May 2026 | Shane Mosley vs Serhii Bohachuk | Shane Mosley | 58.62% | 33.33% | 25.28% | 75.85% | BET | WIN | 2.0000 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 10 May 2026 | Andreas Katzourakis vs Misael Olivas | Misael Uziel Rodríguez Olivas | 61.59% | 38.46% | 23.13% | 60.14% | BET | PENDING | N/A | Matchup | PENDING |
| 09 May 2026 | Angelo Leo vs Ra'eese Aleem | Angelo Miguel Leo | 59.86% | 74.09% | -14.23% | -19.20% | BET | PENDING | N/A | Matchup | PENDING |
| 09 May 2026 | Carlos Mercado vs Atif Oberlton | Atif Oberlton | 54.55% | 88.89% | -34.34% | -38.63% | BET | WIN | 0.1250 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 09 May 2026 | Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois | Fabio Wardley | 52.95% | 58.68% | -5.73% | -9.76% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | Matchup | INCORRECT |
| 03 May 2026 | Jaime Escobedo vs José García | Jaime Escobedo | 71.27% | 68.75% | 2.52% | 3.66% | BET | WIN | 0.4545 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 02 May 2026 | Cobia Breedy vs Erdenebatyn Tsendbaatar | Erdenebatyn Tsendbaatar | 57.71% | 90.91% | -33.20% | -36.52% | BET | PENDING | N/A | Matchup | PENDING |
| 02 May 2026 | Oscar Jurado vs Angel Barrera | Oscar Jurado | 55.75% | 93.34% | -37.59% | -40.27% | BET | WIN | 0.0714 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 02 May 2026 | Naoya Inoue vs Junto Nakatani | Naoya Inoue | 65.28% | 81.82% | -16.54% | -20.22% | BET | WIN | 0.2222 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 02 May 2026 | Takuma Inoue vs Kazuto Ioka | Kazuto Ioka | 59.99% | 36.23% | 23.76% | 65.57% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | Matchup | INCORRECT |
| 02 May 2026 | Shogo Tanaka vs Kosuke Tomioka | Kosuke Tomioka | 55.68% | 26.67% | 29.01% | 108.78% | BET | DRAW | N/A | Matchup | DRAW |
| 02 May 2026 | Reiya Abe vs Toshiki Shimomachi | Reiya Abe | 51.65% | 38.02% | 13.63% | 35.84% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | Matchup | INCORRECT |
| 02 May 2026 | Deok Yun vs Yuito Moriwaki | Deok Yun | 65.00% | 22.22% | 42.78% | 192.52% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | Matchup | INCORRECT |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Lawrence Okolie vs Anthony Yoka | Lawrence Okolie | 68.62% | 77.78% | -9.16% | -11.78% | BET | PENDING | N/A | Matchup | PENDING |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Lenier Justiz vs Jarrell Miller | Lenier Justiz | 67.75% | 40.32% | 27.43% | 68.01% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | Matchup | INCORRECT |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Dan Hill vs Ben Mahoney | Ben Mahoney | 71.08% | 90.91% | -19.83% | -21.81% | BET | WIN | 0.1000 | Matchup | CORRECT |
Nahir Albright vs Keyshawn Davis
17 May 2026
Lean
Keyshawn Davis
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
64.50%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
92.34%
Diff
-27.84%
ROI
-30.15%
Profit
0.0830
Yan Guerrero vs Cristian Cruz
17 May 2026
Lean
Yan Guerrero
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
79.94%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
93.37%
Diff
-13.43%
ROI
-14.39%
Profit
0.0710
Eric Howard vs Dedrick Crocklem
16 May 2026
Lean
Dedrick Crocklem
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
71.13%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
94.07%
Diff
-22.95%
ROI
-24.39%
Profit
0.0630
Filip Hrgovir vs Dave Allen
16 May 2026
Lean
Filip Hrgović
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
72.99%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
90.10%
Diff
-17.11%
ROI
-18.99%
Profit
0.1099
Shane Mosley vs Serhii Bohachuk
11 May 2026
Lean
Shane Mosley
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
58.62%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
33.33%
Diff
25.28%
ROI
75.85%
Profit
2.0000
Andreas Katzourakis vs Misael Olivas
10 May 2026
Lean
Misael Uziel Rodríguez Olivas
Verdict
PENDING
Win %
61.59%
Outcome
PENDING
Implied
38.46%
Diff
23.13%
ROI
60.14%
Profit
N/A
Angelo Leo vs Ra'eese Aleem
09 May 2026
Lean
Angelo Miguel Leo
Verdict
PENDING
Win %
59.86%
Outcome
PENDING
Implied
74.09%
Diff
-14.23%
ROI
-19.20%
Profit
N/A
Carlos Mercado vs Atif Oberlton
09 May 2026
Lean
Atif Oberlton
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
54.55%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
88.89%
Diff
-34.34%
ROI
-38.63%
Profit
0.1250
Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois
09 May 2026
Lean
Fabio Wardley
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
52.95%
Outcome
LOSS
Implied
58.68%
Diff
-5.73%
ROI
-9.76%
Profit
-1.0000
Jaime Escobedo vs José García
03 May 2026
Lean
Jaime Escobedo
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
71.27%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
68.75%
Diff
2.52%
ROI
3.66%
Profit
0.4545
Cobia Breedy vs Erdenebatyn Tsendbaatar
02 May 2026
Lean
Erdenebatyn Tsendbaatar
Verdict
PENDING
Win %
57.71%
Outcome
PENDING
Implied
90.91%
Diff
-33.20%
ROI
-36.52%
Profit
N/A
Oscar Jurado vs Angel Barrera
02 May 2026
Lean
Oscar Jurado
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
55.75%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
93.34%
Diff
-37.59%
ROI
-40.27%
Profit
0.0714
Naoya Inoue vs Junto Nakatani
02 May 2026
Lean
Naoya Inoue
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
65.28%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
81.82%
Diff
-16.54%
ROI
-20.22%
Profit
0.2222
Takuma Inoue vs Kazuto Ioka
02 May 2026
Lean
Kazuto Ioka
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
59.99%
Outcome
LOSS
Implied
36.23%
Diff
23.76%
ROI
65.57%
Profit
-1.0000
Shogo Tanaka vs Kosuke Tomioka
02 May 2026
Lean
Kosuke Tomioka
Verdict
DRAW
Win %
55.68%
Outcome
DRAW
Implied
26.67%
Diff
29.01%
ROI
108.78%
Profit
N/A
Reiya Abe vs Toshiki Shimomachi
02 May 2026
Lean
Reiya Abe
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
51.65%
Outcome
LOSS
Implied
38.02%
Diff
13.63%
ROI
35.84%
Profit
-1.0000
Deok Yun vs Yuito Moriwaki
02 May 2026
Lean
Deok Yun
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
65.00%
Outcome
LOSS
Implied
22.22%
Diff
42.78%
ROI
192.52%
Profit
-1.0000
Lawrence Okolie vs Anthony Yoka
25 Apr 2026
Lean
Lawrence Okolie
Verdict
PENDING
Win %
68.62%
Outcome
PENDING
Implied
77.78%
Diff
-9.16%
ROI
-11.78%
Profit
N/A
Lenier Justiz vs Jarrell Miller
25 Apr 2026
Lean
Lenier Justiz
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
67.75%
Outcome
LOSS
Implied
40.32%
Diff
27.43%
ROI
68.01%
Profit
-1.0000
Dan Hill vs Ben Mahoney
23 Apr 2026
Lean
Ben Mahoney
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
71.08%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
90.91%
Diff
-19.83%
ROI
-21.81%
Profit
0.1000