Rene Palacios vs Bruce Carrington
05 Jul 2026
Lean
Bruce Carrington
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
72.29%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
7 / 1.1
Implied
90.91%
Diff
-18.62%
ROI
-20.48%
Profit
0.1000
Data as of: 2026-07-05 07:06:18 UTC
Results only confirm and affect headline metrics when winner + closing odds available.
Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.
Deric Davis vs Carlos Espinoza · WINNER: Deric Davis · CORRECT
Lightweight · 05 Jul 2026 · UD · SCHEDULED 8 · 1.05 / 10 · NO VALUE · Pick Deric Davis 74%
Albert Bell vs Abdullah Mason · WINNER: Abdullah Mason · CORRECT
Super featherweight · 05 Jul 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 4 / 1.25 · NO VALUE · Pick Abdullah Mason 63%
Rene Palacios vs Bruce Carrington · WINNER: Bruce Carrington · CORRECT
Featherweight · 05 Jul 2026 · UD · 11/12 · 7 / 1.1 · NO VALUE · Pick Bruce Carrington 72%
Yamato Hata vs Tsubasa Narai · WINNER: Yamato Hata · CORRECT
Super featherweight · 04 Jul 2026 · MD · SCHEDULED 10 · 1.5 / 2.63 · NO VALUE · Pick Yamato Hata 62%
Omar Trinidad vs Jerwin Ancajas · WINNER: Omar Trinidad · CORRECT
Featherweight · 29 Jun 2026 · UD · 9/10 · 1.2 / 4.25 · NO VALUE · Pick Omar Trinidad 65%
Cain Sandoval vs Brandun Lee · WINNER: Cain Sandoval · INCORRECT
Super lightweight · 29 Jun 2026 · MD · 9/10 · 2.5 / 1.5319 · NO VALUE · Pick Brandun Lee 61%
José Valenzuela vs Edwin Santos · WINNER: José Valenzuela · CORRECT
Lightweight · 29 Jun 2026 · KO · 9/10 · 2.2 / 1.6667 · VALUE · Pick José Gastélum 58% · ROI +11.0%
Brady Ochoa vs Adrian Serrano · WINNER: Adrian Serrano · INCORRECT
Lightweight · 28 Jun 2026 · UD · N/A · 1.4 / 2.85 · NO VALUE · Pick Brady Ochoa 63%
Vernon Brown vs Damoni Cato-Cain · WINNER: Damoni Cato-Cain · CORRECT
Welterweight · 28 Jun 2026 · UD · N/A · 2.7 / 1.4444 · NO VALUE · Pick Damoni Cato-Cain 59%
Jaybrio Benito vs Tony Hirsch · WINNER: Tony Hirsch · CORRECT
Lightweight · 28 Jun 2026 · KO · N/A · 2.5 / 1.5556 · NO VALUE · Pick Tony Hirsch 56%
Deric Davis vs Carlos Espinoza · WINNER: Deric Davis · CORRECT
Lightweight · 05 Jul 2026 · UD · SCHEDULED 8 · 1.05 / 10 · NO VALUE · Pick Deric Davis 74%
Albert Bell vs Abdullah Mason · WINNER: Abdullah Mason · CORRECT
Super featherweight · 05 Jul 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 4 / 1.25 · NO VALUE · Pick Abdullah Mason 63%
Rene Palacios vs Bruce Carrington · WINNER: Bruce Carrington · CORRECT
Featherweight · 05 Jul 2026 · UD · 11/12 · 7 / 1.1 · NO VALUE · Pick Bruce Carrington 72%
Yamato Hata vs Tsubasa Narai · WINNER: Yamato Hata · CORRECT
Super featherweight · 04 Jul 2026 · MD · SCHEDULED 10 · 1.5 / 2.63 · NO VALUE · Pick Yamato Hata 62%
Omar Trinidad vs Jerwin Ancajas · WINNER: Omar Trinidad · CORRECT
Featherweight · 29 Jun 2026 · UD · 9/10 · 1.2 / 4.25 · NO VALUE · Pick Omar Trinidad 65%
Cain Sandoval vs Brandun Lee · WINNER: Cain Sandoval · INCORRECT
Super lightweight · 29 Jun 2026 · MD · 9/10 · 2.5 / 1.5319 · NO VALUE · Pick Brandun Lee 61%
José Valenzuela vs Edwin Santos · WINNER: José Valenzuela · CORRECT
Lightweight · 29 Jun 2026 · KO · 9/10 · 2.2 / 1.6667 · VALUE · Pick José Gastélum 58% · ROI +11.0%
Brady Ochoa vs Adrian Serrano · WINNER: Adrian Serrano · INCORRECT
Lightweight · 28 Jun 2026 · UD · N/A · 1.4 / 2.85 · NO VALUE · Pick Brady Ochoa 63%
Vernon Brown vs Damoni Cato-Cain · WINNER: Damoni Cato-Cain · CORRECT
Welterweight · 28 Jun 2026 · UD · N/A · 2.7 / 1.4444 · NO VALUE · Pick Damoni Cato-Cain 59%
Jaybrio Benito vs Tony Hirsch · WINNER: Tony Hirsch · CORRECT
Lightweight · 28 Jun 2026 · KO · N/A · 2.5 / 1.5556 · NO VALUE · Pick Tony Hirsch 56%
Unconfirmed results stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.
Bets
68
ROI
13.94%
Profit
9.4770
Avg Odds
1.6778
Accuracy
79.41%
Win/Loss
68
Avg Diff
-6.65%
Tracked
77
Strategy Comparison
1u flat stake| Strategy | Bets | Profit | ROI | Accuracy | Avg Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Locked value only | 22 | 9.0693 | 41.22% | 63.64% | 19.54% |
| Any positive diff | 22 | 9.0693 | 41.22% | 63.64% | 19.54% |
| Diff vs implied >= 5% | 20 | 7.9481 | 39.74% | 60.00% | 21.31% |
| Diff vs implied >= 10% | 17 | 5.4054 | 31.80% | 52.94% | 23.88% |
| Model confidence >= 60% | 44 | 1.1805 | 2.68% | 81.82% | -8.40% |
| All model leans Active | 68 | 9.4770 | 13.94% | 79.41% | -6.65% |
| Underdog positive diff | 15 | 4.2100 | 28.07% | 46.67% | 24.69% |
Value only
22 bets
ROI 41.22% · Profit 9.0693 · Accuracy 63.64%
+Diff
22 bets
ROI 41.22% · Profit 9.0693 · Accuracy 63.64%
+5% diff
20 bets
ROI 39.74% · Profit 7.9481 · Accuracy 60.00%
+10% diff
17 bets
ROI 31.80% · Profit 5.4054 · Accuracy 52.94%
60%+ model
44 bets
ROI 2.68% · Profit 1.1805 · Accuracy 81.82%
All leans Active
68 bets
ROI 13.94% · Profit 9.4770 · Accuracy 79.41%
Dog +diff
15 bets
ROI 28.07% · Profit 4.2100 · Accuracy 46.67%
| Date | Bout | Odds | Model Lean | Win % | Implied % | Diff vs Implied | ROI % | Action | Outcome | Profit | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul 2026 | Rene Palacios vs Bruce Carrington | 7 / 1.1 | Bruce Carrington | 72.29% | 90.91% | -18.62% | -20.48% | BET | WIN | 0.1000 | CORRECT |
| 05 Jul 2026 | Albert Bell vs Abdullah Mason | 4 / 1.25 | Abdullah Mason | 62.72% | 80.00% | -17.28% | -21.60% | BET | WIN | 0.2500 | CORRECT |
| 05 Jul 2026 | Deric Davis vs Carlos Espinoza | 1.05 / 10 | Deric Davis | 74.24% | 95.24% | -21.00% | -22.05% | BET | WIN | 0.0500 | CORRECT |
| 04 Jul 2026 | Yamato Hata vs Tsubasa Narai | 1.5 / 2.63 | Yamato Hata | 61.58% | 66.67% | -5.09% | -7.64% | BET | WIN | 0.5000 | CORRECT |
| 29 Jun 2026 | José Valenzuela vs Edwin Santos | 2.2 / 1.6667 | José Gastélum | 58.13% | 52.38% | 5.75% | 10.98% | BET | WIN | 0.9091 | CORRECT |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Cain Sandoval vs Brandun Lee | 2.5 / 1.5319 | Brandun Lee | 60.89% | 65.28% | -4.39% | -6.72% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Omar Trinidad vs Jerwin Ancajas | 1.2 / 4.25 | Omar Trinidad | 64.65% | 80.00% | -15.35% | -19.19% | BET | WIN | 0.2500 | CORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Xander Zayas vs Jaron Ennis | 4 / 1.2222 | Jaron Ennis | 71.27% | 80.95% | -9.68% | -11.96% | BET | WIN | 0.2353 | CORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Richard Rivera vs Benjamin Whittaker | 10 / 1.05 | Benjamin Whittaker | 75.76% | 92.31% | -16.55% | -17.93% | BET | WIN | 0.0833 | CORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Jahi Tucker vs Euri Cedeño | 1.9524 / 1.8 | Euri Martínez | 73.35% | 43.48% | 29.87% | 68.69% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Floyd Diaz vs José Santibanez | 1.4545 / 2.63 | José Santibanez | 64.99% | 40.00% | 24.99% | 62.48% | BET | WIN | 1.5000 | CORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Jaybrio Benito vs Tony Hirsch | 2.5 / 1.5556 | Tony Hirsch | 56.49% | 56.90% | -0.41% | -0.72% | BET | WIN | 0.7576 | CORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Vernon Brown vs Damoni Cato-Cain | 2.7 / 1.4444 | Damoni Cato-Cain | 58.99% | 73.55% | -14.55% | -19.79% | BET | WIN | 0.3597 | CORRECT |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Brady Ochoa vs Adrian Serrano | 1.4 / 2.85 | Brady Ochoa | 63.31% | 73.55% | -10.23% | -13.92% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 24 Jun 2026 | Liam Paro vs Lewis Crocker | 1.8929 / 1.8929 | Liam Paro | 61.51% | 52.83% | 8.68% | 16.42% | BET | WIN | 0.8929 | CORRECT |
| 24 Jun 2026 | Peng Qu vs Luke Modini | 10 / 1.04 | Luke Modini | 67.60% | 96.15% | -28.55% | -29.69% | BET | WIN | 0.0400 | CORRECT |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Oscar Collazo vs Neider Aguilar | 1.01 / 19 | Oscar Collazo | 67.47% | 99.01% | -31.54% | -31.85% | BET | WIN | 0.0100 | CORRECT |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Ruslan Abdullaev vs Orestes Romero | 1.071 / 7.5 | Ruslan Abdullaev | 56.47% | 90.91% | -34.44% | -37.88% | BET | WIN | 0.1000 | CORRECT |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Joseph Diaz vs Ashton Sylve | 4.25 / 1.2 | Ashton Sylve | 62.24% | 88.89% | -26.65% | -29.98% | BET | WIN | 0.1250 | CORRECT |
| 14 Jun 2026 | Jesse Rodriguez vs Antonio Vargas | 1.0152 / 17 | Jesse Franco | 81.40% | 97.09% | -15.68% | -16.15% | BET | WIN | 0.0300 | CORRECT |
Rene Palacios vs Bruce Carrington
05 Jul 2026
Lean
Bruce Carrington
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
72.29%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
7 / 1.1
Implied
90.91%
Diff
-18.62%
ROI
-20.48%
Profit
0.1000
05 Jul 2026
Lean
Abdullah Mason
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
62.72%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
4 / 1.25
Implied
80.00%
Diff
-17.28%
ROI
-21.60%
Profit
0.2500
Deric Davis vs Carlos Espinoza
05 Jul 2026
Lean
Deric Davis
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
74.24%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
1.05 / 10
Implied
95.24%
Diff
-21.00%
ROI
-22.05%
Profit
0.0500
04 Jul 2026
Lean
Yamato Hata
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
61.58%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
1.5 / 2.63
Implied
66.67%
Diff
-5.09%
ROI
-7.64%
Profit
0.5000
José Valenzuela vs Edwin Santos
29 Jun 2026
Lean
José Gastélum
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
58.13%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
2.2 / 1.6667
Implied
52.38%
Diff
5.75%
ROI
10.98%
Profit
0.9091
29 Jun 2026
Lean
Brandun Lee
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
60.89%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
2.5 / 1.5319
Implied
65.28%
Diff
-4.39%
ROI
-6.72%
Profit
-1.0000
Omar Trinidad vs Jerwin Ancajas
29 Jun 2026
Lean
Omar Trinidad
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
64.65%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
1.2 / 4.25
Implied
80.00%
Diff
-15.35%
ROI
-19.19%
Profit
0.2500
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Jaron Ennis
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
71.27%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
4 / 1.2222
Implied
80.95%
Diff
-9.68%
ROI
-11.96%
Profit
0.2353
Richard Rivera vs Benjamin Whittaker
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Benjamin Whittaker
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
75.76%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
10 / 1.05
Implied
92.31%
Diff
-16.55%
ROI
-17.93%
Profit
0.0833
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Euri Martínez
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
73.35%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
1.9524 / 1.8
Implied
43.48%
Diff
29.87%
ROI
68.69%
Profit
-1.0000
28 Jun 2026
Lean
José Santibanez
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
64.99%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
1.4545 / 2.63
Implied
40.00%
Diff
24.99%
ROI
62.48%
Profit
1.5000
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Tony Hirsch
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
56.49%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
2.5 / 1.5556
Implied
56.90%
Diff
-0.41%
ROI
-0.72%
Profit
0.7576
Vernon Brown vs Damoni Cato-Cain
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Damoni Cato-Cain
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
58.99%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
2.7 / 1.4444
Implied
73.55%
Diff
-14.55%
ROI
-19.79%
Profit
0.3597
28 Jun 2026
Lean
Brady Ochoa
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
63.31%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
1.4 / 2.85
Implied
73.55%
Diff
-10.23%
ROI
-13.92%
Profit
-1.0000
24 Jun 2026
Lean
Liam Paro
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
61.51%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
1.8929 / 1.8929
Implied
52.83%
Diff
8.68%
ROI
16.42%
Profit
0.8929
24 Jun 2026
Lean
Luke Modini
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
67.60%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
10 / 1.04
Implied
96.15%
Diff
-28.55%
ROI
-29.69%
Profit
0.0400
Oscar Collazo vs Neider Aguilar
21 Jun 2026
Lean
Oscar Collazo
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
67.47%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
1.01 / 19
Implied
99.01%
Diff
-31.54%
ROI
-31.85%
Profit
0.0100
Ruslan Abdullaev vs Orestes Romero
20 Jun 2026
Lean
Ruslan Abdullaev
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
56.47%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
1.071 / 7.5
Implied
90.91%
Diff
-34.44%
ROI
-37.88%
Profit
0.1000
20 Jun 2026
Lean
Ashton Sylve
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
62.24%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
4.25 / 1.2
Implied
88.89%
Diff
-26.65%
ROI
-29.98%
Profit
0.1250
Jesse Rodriguez vs Antonio Vargas
14 Jun 2026
Lean
Jesse Franco
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
81.40%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
1.0152 / 17
Implied
97.09%
Diff
-15.68%
ROI
-16.15%
Profit
0.0300